Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Auda Riga vs Spartaks Jurmala

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2022 Skonto stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Asamoah K.
45'
Minkevics I.
46'
Sub
Minchev G. In: Bretschneider N.
Out: Minchev G.

AI Match Summary

Spartaks Jurmala in this Optibet Virsliga 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartaks Jurmala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
FK Auda Riga
30%
Draws
38%
Spartaks Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Auda Riga lately — more wins on the board than Spartaks Jurmala.
  • Model gives FK Auda Riga a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Optibet Virsliga 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Spartaks Jurmala
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 22 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.74 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2022 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:1
Aug 28, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs FK Auda Riga
0:1
Jun 17, 2022 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Spartaks Jurmala
5:0
Apr 24, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs FK Auda Riga
1:2
Jul 22, 2012 Latvian Cup
FK Auda Riga vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Asamoah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 36 / 100
Spartaks Jurmala 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Spartaks Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Spartaks Jurmala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

FK Auda Riga went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
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Spartaks Jurmala

(Away)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 36 26 7 3 101:25 85
2 Riga FC 36 26 3 7 68:23 81
3 RFS 36 22 10 4 83:32 76
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 7 8 72:42 70
5 FK Auda Riga 36 15 6 15 42:36 51
6 Tukums 2000 36 11 5 20 38:69 38
7 BFC Daugavpils 36 9 7 20 30:67 34
8 Spartaks Jurmala 36 9 4 23 37:75 31
9 FK Metta 36 5 7 24 41:86 22
10 Super Nova 36 4 8 24 24:81 20
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Main)