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FK Auda Riga vs Tukums 2000 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
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Match Events

29' Event
Appiah A.
Assist: Diedhiou B.
36'
Anmanis Kaspars
36'
Pena B.

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Auda Riga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FK Auda Riga
30%
Draws
19%
Tukums 2000
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Auda Riga have won more games recently than Tukums 2000.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on FK Auda Riga taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Tukums 2000
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.67 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.03 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Tukums 2000
3:0
Jun 17, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs FK Auda Riga
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Tukums 2000
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Tukums 2000
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs FK Auda Riga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Appiah A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minins J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tukums 2000 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 85 / 100
Tukums 2000 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Tukums 2000

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Tukums 2000 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

FK Auda Riga has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS Tukums 2000
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
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Tukums 2000

(Away)
10 Oct
Tukums 2000
0 : 2
Riga FC
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 31 24 5 2 75:24 77
2 Riga FC 32 23 7 2 88:30 76
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 11 9 12 37:36 42
6 Super Nova 31 11 5 15 31:41 38
7 Jelgava 32 8 8 16 34:53 32
8 Grobina 32 5 11 16 22:54 26
9 Tukums 2000 32 5 9 18 44:63 24
10 Ogre United 32 4 6 22 31:78 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)