Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Auda Riga vs Tukums 2000

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga host Tukums 2000 in the Virsliga. FK Auda Riga go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: FK Auda Riga at 1.64 goals for, 1.14 against; Tukums 2000 at 1.55 for, 1.97 against. Head-to-head, FK Auda Riga have won 2 to Tukums 2000's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 17, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 0.88, favoring FK Auda Riga. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
FK Auda Riga
15%
Draws
17%
Tukums 2000
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • FK Auda Riga have won more games recently than Tukums 2000.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on FK Auda Riga taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Tukums 2000
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 4
Draws 4 10
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.64 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs FK Auda Riga
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Tukums 2000
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Tukums 2000
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs FK Auda Riga
1:0
Jun 13, 2025 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs FK Auda Riga
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 76 / 100
Tukums 2000 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Tukums 2000

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Tukums 2000 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FK Auda Riga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS Tukums 2000
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
13 Aug
Dinamo City
4 : 0
FK Auda Riga
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1
FK Auda Riga
04 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Dinamo City
30 Jul
FK Auda Riga
4 : 1
FCSB
26 Jul
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

Tukums 2000

(Away)
08 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0
Tukums 2000
02 Aug
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
FK Liepaja
27 Jul
Tukums 2000
0 : 1
RFS
18 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 1
Tukums 2000
11 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Super Nova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 25 21 2 2 62:17 65
2 Riga FC 25 20 4 1 76:21 64
3 FK Auda Riga 24 14 4 6 39:26 46
4 BFC Daugavpils 26 10 6 10 33:31 36
5 FK Liepaja 25 10 4 11 33:37 34
6 Super Nova 24 8 3 13 26:37 27
7 Jelgava 26 6 7 13 25:44 25
8 Grobina 26 4 9 13 18:47 21
9 Tukums 2000 26 4 8 14 40:51 20
10 Ogre United 25 3 5 17 24:65 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)