Sport Picks

Lithuania

I Lyga 2023

FK Babrungas

6 - 2

Marijampole City

Our Tip

Match Events

Martimiano R.

28'

Kiyomoto H.

35'

Jankeliunas K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2023 game between FK Babrungas and Marijampole City finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Babrungas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

FK Babrungas

Draws

Marijampole City

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and FK Babrungas come out ahead of Marijampole City on wins alone.
FK Babrungas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular I Lyga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 68%

Marijampole City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Babrungas	Marijampole City
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	20	10
Draws	5	2
Losses	5	18
Goals Scored	2.63	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2023 I Lyga

FK Babrungas vs Marijampole City

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

6:2

Apr 23, 2023 I Lyga

Marijampole City vs FK Babrungas

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 4 - 2

0:3

Sep 3, 2022 I Lyga

FK Babrungas vs Marijampole City

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

4:1

Apr 30, 2022 I Lyga

Marijampole City vs FK Babrungas

Possession: 45% - 40% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

Sep 18, 2021 I Lyga

FK Babrungas vs Marijampole City

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Babrungas Compare

Top Goalscorer Borja P.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Martimiano R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Marijampole City Compare

Top Goalscorer Jankeliunas K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bersta K. A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Babrungas 95 / 100

Marijampole City 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Babrungas Marijampole City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Babrungas scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

FK Babrungas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Marijampole City lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Babrungas VS -

2.63 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Transinvest	30	22	4	4	83:29	70
2	BE1 NFA	30	17	5	8	51:30	56
3	Nevezis Kedainiai	30	14	9	7	47:32	51
4	Neptunas	30	14	9	7	57:33	51
5	FK Babrungas	30	15	6	9	60:49	51
6	FK Minija	30	15	6	9	45:37	51
7	Riteriai 2	30	13	7	10	49:33	46
8	Garliava	30	9	13	8	43:37	40
9	Ekranas	30	11	6	13	42:49	39
10	BFA Vilnius	30	10	8	12	40:41	38
11	Marijampole City	30	11	2	17	27:64	35
12	Siauliai 2	30	9	6	15	47:66	33
13	FK Kauno Zalgiris 2	30	8	8	14	40:49	32
14	FK Panevezys 2	30	8	7	15	45:59	31
15	Zalgiris 2	30	7	7	16	46:66	28
16	Jonava	30	4	3	23	28:76	15