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FK Balkany vs MFK Mykolaiv

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2021/2022
Sat, May 14, 2022
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Balkany host MFK Mykolaiv in the Druha Liga 2021/2022. This one's hard to separate. MFK Mykolaiv have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while FK Balkany have conceded 0.82 and scored 1.71. Past meetings favor FK Balkany slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 14, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.05) back FK Balkany to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FK Balkany
35%
Draws
28%
MFK Mykolaiv
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Balkany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Balkany lately — more wins on the board than MFK Mykolaiv.
  • FK Balkany are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FK Balkany Clean Sheet 20%
MFK Mykolaiv Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Balkany MFK Mykolaiv
Matches Played 17 7
Wins 8 4
Draws 7 1
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 1.71 2
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 Druha Liga
FK Balkany vs MFK Mykolaiv
0:0
Oct 16, 2021 Druha Liga
MFK Mykolaiv vs FK Balkany
1:2
Aug 29, 2020 Ukrainian Cup
FK Balkany vs MFK Mykolaiv
0:1
Jul 24, 2020 Persha Liga
FK Balkany vs MFK Mykolaiv
1:3
Sep 29, 2019 Persha Liga
MFK Mykolaiv vs FK Balkany
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Balkany 67 / 100
MFK Mykolaiv 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Balkany MFK Mykolaiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Balkany Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Balkany found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (17 games).

FK Balkany went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

MFK Mykolaiv has conceded goals in 71% of their last 7 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FK Balkany VS MFK Mykolaiv
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Balkany

(Home)
24 Nov
Real Pharma Odesa
1 : 1
FK Balkany
20 Nov
FK Balkany
4 : 1
Trostyanets
13 Nov
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0
FK Balkany
06 Nov
FK Balkany
0 : 0
Skoruk Tomakovka
30 Oct
FK Balkany
5 : 0
FC Nikopol
Page 1 of 4

MFK Mykolaiv

(Away)
28 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
5 : 0
MFK Mykolaiv
06 Nov
MFK Mykolaiv
1 : 1
Real Pharma Odesa
16 Oct
MFK Mykolaiv
1 : 2
FK Balkany
06 Oct
MFK Mykolaiv
2 : 0
FC Vovchansk
17 Sept
MFK Mykolaiv
2 : 1
Krystal
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karpaty Lviv 18 16 0 2 46:7 48
2 Livyi Bereg 19 15 1 3 47:14 46
3 LNZ Cherkasy 17 13 2 2 36:9 41
4 Dinaz Vyshgorod 19 13 1 5 33:18 40
5 Epitsentr 19 12 1 6 30:19 37
6 Munkacs Mukacheve 19 8 5 6 25:24 29
7 Karpaty Halych 18 7 4 7 23:23 25
8 Nyva Vinnytsya 17 7 4 6 29:20 25
9 Bukovyna 18 6 5 7 20:17 23
10 FC Chernihiv 18 5 5 8 17:24 20
11 Dnipro Cherkasy 18 5 2 11 24:32 17
12 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 19 3 6 10 16:40 15
13 Rubikon Kyiv 19 4 2 13 12:38 14
14 AFSC Kyiv 19 1 5 13 8:38 8
15 Liubomyr Stavyshche 19 1 1 17 8:51 4
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 19 13 6 0 34:7 45
2 Skoruk Tomakovka 20 12 5 3 33:14 41
3 FK Balkany 20 10 9 1 34:14 39
4 Peremoga Dnipro 20 12 3 5 34:14 39
5 Tavriya 19 9 6 4 28:19 33
6 SC Poltava 20 9 4 7 29:27 31
7 Trostyanets 19 9 4 6 34:29 31
8 MFK Mykolaiv 17 8 6 3 35:24 30
9 FC Vovchansk 20 7 6 7 27:25 27
10 Victoria 19 8 3 8 22:23 27
11 Fenix Mariupol 20 6 6 8 36:29 24
12 FC Nikopol 20 5 5 10 22:42 20
13 Nova Kakhovka 20 5 2 13 20:40 17
14 Real Pharma Odesa 20 4 2 14 22:49 14
15 Krystal 20 2 3 15 19:36 9
16 FC Sumy 19 1 2 16 16:53 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)