Sport Picks
FK Baranovici vs Dnepr Mogilev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga Lokomotiv Stadium, Baranovichi 
Match Events
2'
2'
Bondarenko M.
Assist: Artyukh M.
16'
16'
Lebedev F.
Assist: Artyukh M.
59'
59'
Sub
Tuzakbaev A. In: Balbukh V.
Out: Tuzakbaev A.
AI Match Summary
FK Baranovici in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Baranovici.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Baranovici
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to FK Baranovici lately — more wins on the board than Dnepr Mogilev.
- Win probability leans FK Baranovici's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
FK Baranovici Clean Sheet 68%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Baranovici | Dnepr Mogilev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:1
May 2, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs FK Baranovici
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs FK Baranovici
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 Pershaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:1
Oct 15, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs FK Baranovici
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Baranovici Compare
Top Goalscorer Bondarenko M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lebedev F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Dnepr Mogilev Compare
Top Goalscorer Zabelin K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Baranovici 59 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Baranovici Dnepr Mogilev
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Baranovici Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Baranovici found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Dnepr Mogilev let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: FK Baranovici remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FK Baranovici VS Dnepr Mogilev
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Baranovici
(Home) 20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2 FC Gomel
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0 FK Baranovici
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1 FK Baranovici
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1 Dynamo Brest
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2 FC Gomel
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1 Dynamo Brest
09 Aug
FK Baranovici
2 : 2 BATE
01 Aug
FK Baranovici
3 : 4 Isloch Minsk
Page 1 of 3
Dnepr Mogilev
(Away) 20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0 Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
07 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
25 Jul
Zhodino
1 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch Minsk | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Din. Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37:16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 38:23 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33:18 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 37 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30:28 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 11 | FK Baranovici | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:38 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 24:41 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:36 | 21 |
| 14 | BATE | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:54 | 14 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)
