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FK Baranovici vs FC Gomel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Lokomotiv Stadium, Baranovichi
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Muzychenko K.
31' Event
Simanenka T.
Assist: Kukushkin G.
40'
Ryabykh N.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between FK Baranovici and FC Gomel finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
FK Baranovici
20%
Draws
48%
FC Gomel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Gomel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Gomel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors FC Gomel here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
FK Baranovici Clean Sheet 16%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Baranovici FC Gomel
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.18 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs FC Gomel
0:2
May 14, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs FK Baranovici
2:3
Sep 10, 2016 Pershaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs FC Gomel
0:6
May 15, 2016 Pershaya Liga
FC Gomel vs FK Baranovici
4:1
Aug 14, 2010 Pershaya Liga
FC Gomel vs FK Baranovici
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Baranovici Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Simanenka T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barsukov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Baranovici 10 / 100
FC Gomel 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Baranovici FC Gomel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gomel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: FK Baranovici scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: FK Baranovici remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

FC Gomel has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Baranovici VS FC Gomel
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Baranovici

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
FK Baranovici
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1
Dynamo Brest
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FC Gomel

(Away)
02 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1
FC Gomel
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
28 Aug
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 24 10 4 10 30:29 34
9 Zhodino 23 8 6 9 29:29 30
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24 5 8 11 24:42 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)