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FK Beograd vs Adelaide City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Frank Mitchell Park, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kasumovic A.
67' Event
Schimizzi F.
88' Event
Parhas G.

AI Match Summary

Adelaide City in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adelaide City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
FK Beograd
15%
Draws
71%
Adelaide City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Adelaide City have won more games recently than FK Beograd.
  • Adelaide City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FK Beograd Clean Sheet 10%
Adelaide City Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Beograd Adelaide City
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 21
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.74 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide City
0:3
May 23, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs FK Beograd
2:2
May 30, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs FK Beograd
2:4
Feb 23, 2025 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide City
0:2
Jun 15, 2024 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Beograd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Adelaide City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasumovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schimizzi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Beograd 10 / 100
Adelaide City 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Beograd Adelaide City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

FK Beograd's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Adelaide City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: FK Beograd stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Beograd VS Adelaide City
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Beograd

(Home)
22 Aug
Playford Patriots
3 : 0
FK Beograd
15 Aug
FK Beograd
0 : 3
Adelaide City
07 Aug
Campbelltown City
2 : 0
FK Beograd
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3
Croydon
25 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 0
FK Beograd
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Adelaide City

(Away)
11 Sept
Adelaide City
3 : 2
West Torrens Birkalla
05 Sept
Adelaide City
6 : 0
Playford Patriots
29 Aug
Playford Patriots
1 : 2
Adelaide City
15 Aug
FK Beograd
0 : 3
Adelaide City
07 Aug
Adelaide City
1 : 0
Playford Patriots
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)