Sport Picks

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FK Beograd vs Adelaide City

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Frank Mitchell Park, Adelaide
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Beograd host Adelaide City in the NPL South Australia. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: FK Beograd at 1.88 goals for, 1.25 against; Adelaide City at 2 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, FK Beograd have won 2 to Adelaide City's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.31 - 1.63) back Adelaide City to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
FK Beograd
11%
Draws
80%
Adelaide City
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Adelaide City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Adelaide City have won more games recently than FK Beograd.
  • Adelaide City are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FK Beograd Clean Sheet 14%
Adelaide City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Beograd Adelaide City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs FK Beograd
2:2
May 30, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs FK Beograd
2:4
Feb 23, 2025 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide City
0:2
Jun 15, 2024 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide City
0:1
Mar 22, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs FK Beograd
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Beograd 11 / 100
Adelaide City 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Beograd Adelaide City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Beograd found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Adelaide City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FK Beograd stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Beograd VS Adelaide City
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Beograd

(Home)
25 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 0
FK Beograd
19 Jul
FK Beograd
0 : 2
Adelaide Utd U23
15 Jul
FK Beograd
2 : 3
North Sunshine Eagles
04 Jul
FK Beograd
1 : 0
West Adelaide
27 Jun
Playford Patriots
0 : 1
FK Beograd
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Adelaide City

(Away)
25 Jul
Adelaide City
1 : 0
West Torrens Birkalla
18 Jul
Adelaide City
2 : 2
Croydon
04 Jul
Adelaide City
2 : 0
Para
26 Jun
Adelaide Comets
0 : 1
Adelaide City
20 Jun
Adelaide City
3 : 0
MetroStars
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide City19116236:1639
2MetroStars19114449:2237
3West Torrens Birkalla19113545:2736
4Playford Patriots1995540:2832
5FK Beograd1993731:2230
6Croydon1985642:3429
7Sturt Lions FC19811033:3225
8Adelaide Utd U231967626:2725
9Campbelltown City1965830:3123
10West Adelaide1957736:3522
11Adelaide Comets19441120:3516
12Para19021711:902
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)