Sport Picks

Czech Republic

3. MSFL 2025/2026 Stadion na Udolni

Nove Mesto na Morave

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Blansko play Nove Mesto na Morave in the 3. MSFL 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Blansko averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Nove Mesto na Morave averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, FK Blansko won 2, Nove Mesto na Morave won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for FK Blansko and 2.56 for Nove Mesto na Morave. This points to a Nove Mesto na Morave double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

FK Blansko

15%

Draws

50%

Nove Mesto na Morave

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nove Mesto na Morave

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

FK Blansko picked up more points recently compared to Nove Mesto na Morave.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

FK Blansko Clean Sheet 10%

Nove Mesto na Morave Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Blansko	Nove Mesto na Morave
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	10	14
Draws	2	6
Losses	18	9
Goals Scored	1.4	1.93
Goals Conceded	2.17	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 3. MSFL

FK Blansko vs Nove Mesto na Morave

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 2 - 4

2:3

Sep 20, 2025 3. MSFL

Nove Mesto na Morave vs FK Blansko

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Mar 2, 2024 Club Friendly

FK Blansko vs Nove Mesto na Morave

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

6:2

Apr 8, 2023 3. MSFL

FK Blansko vs Nove Mesto na Morave

Possession: 60% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sep 10, 2022 3. MSFL

Nove Mesto na Morave vs FK Blansko

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Blansko Compare

Top Goalscorer Smerda D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Plichta A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Nove Mesto na Morave Compare

Top Goalscorer Usman I.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Necas F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Blansko 34 / 100

Nove Mesto na Morave 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Blansko Nove Mesto na Morave

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nove Mesto na Morave or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Blansko attacking → ← attacking Nove Mesto na Morave

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Blansko scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Nove Mesto na Morave let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

FK Blansko went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nove Mesto na Morave lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 48

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trinec	34	23	7	4	75:27	76
2	Hodonin	34	21	7	6	77:39	70
3	Unicov	34	18	10	6	55:41	64
4	Brno B	34	20	4	10	70:47	64
5	Sigma Olomouc B	34	19	5	10	71:33	62
6	FK Frydek-Mistek	34	16	11	7	54:39	59
7	Nove Mesto na Morave	34	16	7	11	64:51	55
8	Hlubina	34	13	9	12	53:49	48
9	Vsetin	34	13	6	15	52:54	45
10	Vitkovice	34	12	7	15	51:56	43
11	Zlin B	34	11	10	13	57:64	43
12	Slovacko B	34	9	11	14	49:59	38
13	Polanka nad Odrou	34	9	8	17	37:62	35
14	FK Blansko	34	10	3	21	47:79	33
15	Karvina B	34	8	8	18	40:60	32
16	SK Hranice	34	7	9	18	38:61	30
17	Hlucin	34	7	7	20	41:73	28
18	TJ Start Brno	34	4	11	19	32:69	23