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FK Ceska Lipa vs MFK Karvina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

ChNL Mestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa, Ceska Lipa
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Pira J.
28' Event
Masek D.
32' Event
Pira J.

AI Match Summary

MFK Karvina in this ChNL matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored MFK Karvina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
FK Ceska Lipa
20%
Draws
57%
MFK Karvina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MFK Karvina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • MFK Karvina have won more games recently than FK Ceska Lipa.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on MFK Karvina taking it.
  • Regular ChNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FK Ceska Lipa Clean Sheet 10%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Ceska Lipa MFK Karvina
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.35 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 ChNL
FK Ceska Lipa vs MFK Karvina
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Ceska Lipa Compare

Top Goalscorer Masek D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

MFK Karvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Pira J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Selnar J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Ceska Lipa 22 / 100
MFK Karvina 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Ceska Lipa MFK Karvina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MFK Karvina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Ceska Lipa scored in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

MFK Karvina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

FK Ceska Lipa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Ceska Lipa VS MFK Karvina
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Ceska Lipa

(Home)
02 Oct
FK Ceska Lipa
2 : 3
Usti nad Labem
18 Sept
Opava
2 : 1
FK Ceska Lipa
12 Sept
FK Ceska Lipa
0 : 0
Prostejov
04 Sept
Jihlava
2 : 0
FK Ceska Lipa
29 Aug
FK Ceska Lipa
2 : 1
Vlasim
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MFK Karvina

(Away)
09 Oct
Taborsko
0 : 1
MFK Karvina
02 Oct
MFK Karvina
1 : 1
S. Rzeszow
18 Sept
MFK Karvina
3 : 2
Kromeriz
11 Sept
Trinec
3 : 2
MFK Karvina
04 Sept
MFK Karvina
2 : 0
SK Kladno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MFK Karvina 10 7 0 3 20:12 21
2 Usti nad Labem 10 5 3 2 17:11 18
3 Dukla Prague 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
4 Jihlava 10 5 2 3 16:11 17
5 Vlasim 10 4 3 3 19:14 15
6 Pribram 9 3 5 1 15:14 14
7 Slavia Prague B 10 3 4 3 19:17 13
8 Taborsko 10 3 4 3 13:13 13
9 Opava 10 3 4 3 16:17 13
10 Ostrava B 9 3 2 4 15:12 11
11 SK Kladno 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
12 Zizkov 9 3 1 5 8:16 10
13 Prostejov 10 1 6 3 13:14 9
14 FK Ceska Lipa 9 2 3 4 10:16 9
15 Trinec 9 1 4 4 10:17 7
16 Kromeriz 9 1 3 5 8:19 6
Promotion - Chance Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
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