Sport Picks

Montenegro

Druga Liga 2013/2014

Zora Spuz

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Cetinje play Zora Spuz in the Druga Liga 2013/2014. Zora Spuz are favorites here. Recently, FK Cetinje averaged 0.78 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Zora Spuz averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, FK Cetinje won 0, Zora Spuz won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 27, 2014 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for FK Cetinje and 1.88 for Zora Spuz. This points to a Zora Spuz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

FK Cetinje

24%

Draws

57%

Zora Spuz

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Zora Spuz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

FK Cetinje picked up more points recently compared to Zora Spuz.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

FK Cetinje Clean Sheet 10%

Zora Spuz Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Cetinje	Zora Spuz
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	5	11
Draws	3	9
Losses	24	10
Goals Scored	0.78	0.83
Goals Conceded	2.47	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Druga Liga

FK Cetinje vs Zora Spuz

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Nov 10, 2013 Druga Liga

Zora Spuz vs FK Cetinje

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

Sep 1, 2013 Druga Liga

FK Cetinje vs Zora Spuz

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Cetinje 19 / 100

Zora Spuz 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Cetinje Zora Spuz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zora Spuz Win (2)

Secondary Pick Zora Spuz & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +72.7%

9.09

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Cetinje attacking → ← attacking Zora Spuz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Cetinje scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Zora Spuz let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

FK Cetinje went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Zora Spuz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 42

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bokelj	33	19	9	5	43:12	66
2	Berane	33	17	6	10	56:37	57
3	Jezero	33	15	11	7	39:27	56
4	Zora Spuz	33	14	9	10	34:35	51
5	Arsenal Tivat	33	13	7	13	37:44	46
6	Kom Podgorica	33	13	5	15	38:38	44
7	FK Cetinje	33	12	6	15	42:53	42
8	Jedinstvo	33	11	7	15	36:43	40
9	Igalo	33	10	9	14	35:31	39
10	Ibar	33	11	6	16	27:42	39
11	Bratstvo Cijevna	33	8	13	12	37:42	37
12	Zabjelo	33	7	8	18	33:53	29