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Stadium Background

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Chelyabinsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Chayka Central Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Krutovskikh A.
25' Event
Gadzhimuradov R.
(Penalty)
42'
Maslov P.

AI Match Summary

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
6%
Draws
90%
Chelyabinsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chelyabinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chelyabinsk average 0.88 goals a game right now, well clear of FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye's 0.67.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Chelyabinsk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Clean Sheet 15%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Chelyabinsk
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 7
Draws 3 10
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.67 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.17 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Chelyabinsk
2:1
Sep 8, 2025 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1:0
May 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Chelyabinsk vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5:0
Mar 30, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Chelyabinsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Sokolov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Filev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Chelyabinsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 10 / 100
Chelyabinsk 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Chelyabinsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Chelyabinsk has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Chelyabinsk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye VS Chelyabinsk
0.67 Goals Scored 0.88
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
13Arsenal Tula348151142:4439
14Ulyanovsk349101535:4837
15Ufa349101532:4037
16Chernomorets Novorossijsk34981737:4935
17Saratov345111816:4426
18FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye34572230:7622