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FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Fakel Voronezh

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Chayka Central Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Rosputko O.
32'
Sub
Simonov K. In: Bagamaev A.
Out: Simonov K.
36' Event
Sokolov A.

AI Match Summary

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
6%
Draws
90%
Fakel Voronezh
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fakel Voronezh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fakel Voronezh have won more games recently than FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye.
  • Model gives Fakel Voronezh a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Clean Sheet 11%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Fakel Voronezh
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 10
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Fakel Voronezh
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 FNL
Fakel Voronezh vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0:0
Feb 3, 2023 Club Friendly
Fakel Voronezh vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0:1
Nov 6, 2021 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Fakel Voronezh
0:0
Jul 24, 2021 FNL
Fakel Voronezh vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Sokolov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Posmashnyi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Fakel Voronezh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 10 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Fakel Voronezh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fakel Voronezh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye VS Fakel Voronezh
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
13Arsenal Tula348151142:4439
14Ulyanovsk349101535:4837
15Ufa349101532:4037
16Chernomorets Novorossijsk34981737:4935
17Saratov345111816:4426
18FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye34572230:7622