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FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs SKA Khabarovsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Chayka Central Stadium, Peschanokopskoye
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Glotov S.
41' Event
Popolitov G.
51' Event
Alcalde J.

AI Match Summary

SKA Khabarovsk in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SKA Khabarovsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
28%
Draws
50%
SKA Khabarovsk
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: SKA Khabarovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: SKA Khabarovsk at 1.25 per game, FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye at 0.63.
  • Model gives SKA Khabarovsk a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Clean Sheet 10%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye SKA Khabarovsk
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs SKA Khabarovsk
1:3
Aug 10, 2025 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs SKA Khabarovsk
0:0
Sep 10, 2024 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1:0
May 7, 2022 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs SKA Khabarovsk
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Popolitov G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

SKA Khabarovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Glotov S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alcalde J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 22 / 100
SKA Khabarovsk 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye SKA Khabarovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA Khabarovsk let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

SKA Khabarovsk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye VS SKA Khabarovsk
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye

(Home)
16 May
R. Volgograd
5 : 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
08 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
03 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
26 Apr
Kamaz
2 : 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
22 Apr
Ulyanovsk
2 : 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
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SKA Khabarovsk

(Away)
20 Jul
R. Volgograd
1 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
13 Jul
Chelyabinsk
3 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
04 Jul
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 2
Veles Moscow
30 Jun
PFC Sochi
4 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
16 May
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0
Neftekhimik
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
13Arsenal Tula348151142:4439
14Ulyanovsk349101535:4837
15Ufa349101532:4037
16Chernomorets Novorossijsk34981737:4935
17Saratov345111816:4426
18FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye34572230:7622
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