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FK Frydek-Mistek vs Nove Mesto na Morave - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. MSFL Stadion Stovky, Frydek-Mistek
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Hykel T.
33' Event
Franek T.
(Penalty)
37'
Velner M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. MSFL game between FK Frydek-Mistek and Nove Mesto na Morave finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Frydek-Mistek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FK Frydek-Mistek
20%
Draws
29%
Nove Mesto na Morave
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Frydek-Mistek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Frydek-Mistek come out ahead of Nove Mesto na Morave on wins alone.
  • FK Frydek-Mistek are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. MSFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Frydek-Mistek Clean Sheet 20%
Nove Mesto na Morave Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Frydek-Mistek Nove Mesto na Morave
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 3. MSFL
FK Frydek-Mistek vs Nove Mesto na Morave
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 3. MSFL
FK Frydek-Mistek vs Nove Mesto na Morave
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs FK Frydek-Mistek
4:1
Mar 19, 2023 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs FK Frydek-Mistek
0:1
Aug 20, 2022 3. MSFL
FK Frydek-Mistek vs Nove Mesto na Morave
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Frydek-Mistek Compare

Top Goalscorer Kedron D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hykel T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Nove Mesto na Morave Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouchner D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Frydek-Mistek 85 / 100
Nove Mesto na Morave 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Frydek-Mistek Nove Mesto na Morave

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Frydek-Mistek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: FK Frydek-Mistek scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Nove Mesto na Morave has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: FK Frydek-Mistek stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Frydek-Mistek VS Nove Mesto na Morave
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Frydek-Mistek

(Home)
10 Oct
Hodonin
3 : 0
FK Frydek-Mistek
03 Oct
FK Frydek-Mistek
4 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
27 Sept
Polanka nad Odrou
1 : 0
FK Frydek-Mistek
19 Sept
FK Frydek-Mistek
0 : 0
Havirov
12 Sept
Uhersky Brod
1 : 3
FK Frydek-Mistek
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Nove Mesto na Morave

(Away)
10 Oct
Nove Mesto na Morave
0 : 4
Unicov
03 Oct
FK Frydek-Mistek
4 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
26 Sept
Nove Mesto na Morave
3 : 2
Hlubina
19 Sept
Vsetin
2 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
12 Sept
Nove Mesto na Morave
0 : 3
Brno B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unicov 12 8 2 2 26:14 26
2 Artis Brno B 11 7 4 0 20:4 25
3 Brno B 11 7 2 2 24:16 23
4 FK Frydek-Mistek 12 6 3 3 19:13 21
5 Sigma Olomouc B 11 6 1 4 20:13 19
6 SK Hranice 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
7 Hodonin 12 5 2 5 17:13 17
8 Vitkovice 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
9 Hlubina 11 4 3 4 26:22 15
10 Slovacko B 11 4 3 4 16:12 15
11 Uhersky Brod 11 4 3 4 18:18 15
12 Zlin B 11 4 3 4 13:16 15
13 Karvina B 12 4 2 6 19:21 14
14 Nove Mesto na Morave 12 4 2 6 13:24 14
15 FK Blansko 12 2 5 5 18:28 11
16 Vsetin 12 3 1 8 11:26 10
17 Polanka nad Odrou 11 1 3 7 7:17 6
18 Havirov 11 0 5 6 6:20 5
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