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FK Izhevsk vs Orenburg 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Izhevsk host Orenburg 2 in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FK Izhevsk have averaged 1.33 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Orenburg 2's 1.52 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Orenburg 2 slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 7, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.75, favoring Orenburg 2. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FK Izhevsk
30%
Draws
43%
Orenburg 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orenburg 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Orenburg 2 have won more games recently than FK Izhevsk.
  • Model gives Orenburg 2 a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Orenburg 2 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FK Izhevsk Clean Sheet 12%
Orenburg 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Izhevsk Orenburg 2
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Orenburg 2 vs FK Izhevsk
3:0
Aug 9, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Orenburg 2 vs FK Izhevsk
3:2
May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
FK Izhevsk vs Orenburg 2
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Izhevsk 14 / 100
Orenburg 2 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Izhevsk Orenburg 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orenburg 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Izhevsk scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Orenburg 2 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

FK Izhevsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Izhevsk VS Orenburg 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Izhevsk

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Izhevsk
2 : 1
Ural 2
13 Sept
Chelyabinsk 2
1 : 2
FK Izhevsk
07 Sept
Orenburg 2
3 : 0
FK Izhevsk
30 Aug
FK Izhevsk
1 : 2
Nosta
23 Aug
FK Izhevsk
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
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Orenburg 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Orenburg 2
3 : 3
Rubin Kazan 2
13 Sept
Ural 2
1 : 1
Orenburg 2
07 Sept
Orenburg 2
3 : 0
FK Izhevsk
30 Aug
Orenburg 2
2 : 0
Chelyabinsk 2
23 Aug
Orenburg 2
2 : 1
Chelyabinsk 2
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