Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Visnakovs E.
20'
20'
Ulimbasevs D.
45'
45'
Visnakovs E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-7, with RFS advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RFS
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of FK Karosta on wins alone.
- RFS are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- RFS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor RFS, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
FK Karosta Clean Sheet 11%
RFS Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Karosta | RFS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 23 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.85 | 2.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2017 Latvian Cup
FK Karosta vs RFS
0:7
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Karosta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
RFS Compare
Top Goalscorer Visnakovs E.
4 Goals Assists Leader Ulimbasevs D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Karosta 27 / 100
RFS 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Karosta RFS
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Karosta found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (19 games).
These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: RFS conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: FK Karosta stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS RFS
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Karosta
(Home) 27 Nov
Dinamo Riga
2 : 1 FK Karosta
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2 Dinamo Riga
17 Jul
Albatroz
5 : 1 FK Karosta
04 Jul
Plavinas
0 : 1 FK Karosta
06 Sept
Grobina
3 : 0 FK Karosta
Page 1 of 4
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2 Dinamo Riga
06 Aug
FK Karosta
4 : 0 Jurmalas
25 Sept
FK Karosta
0 : 5 Jelgava
17 Jul
FK Karosta
4 : 1 LDZ Cargo/DFA
16 Jun
FK Karosta
8 : 1 FK Madona Kvarcs
Page 1 of 2
RFS
(Away) 16 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 1 RFS
13 Aug
RFS
1 : 2 Jablonec
10 Aug
RFS
6 : 1 Grobina
06 Aug
Jablonec
2 : 0 RFS
30 Jul
Vestri
1 : 1 RFS
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 1 RFS
06 Aug
Jablonec
2 : 0 RFS
30 Jul
Vestri
1 : 1 RFS
27 Jul
Tukums 2000
0 : 1 RFS
20 Jul
Jelgava
0 : 1 RFS
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Plavinas 2
FK Sirius 0
TBD -
Aliance -
DSVK Traktors 2
Salaspils FK 1
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
BFK Salaspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caramba -
TBD -
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Nica FC -
TBD -
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Grobina -
Valmiera -
TBD -
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Priekuli -
Ogre -
TBD -
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RTU -
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FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
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JFC Dobele 1
Ludzas NSS 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Balvu SC 5
FK Limbazi 0
FK Alberts 1
Monarhs 2
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 10
FK Salacgriva 0
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 3
SK Cesis 0
Bauskas / Memele 0
Gulbene 3
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
FK Roja / Kolka 1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
TBD -
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SK Babite -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
New Project 0
Upesciems 2
Super Nova -
TBD -
Super Nova -
Nikers -
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TBD -
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RFS -
1/32-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas 2
Aliance 1
DSVK Traktors 0
Preilu BJSS 6
Jekabpils SC 8
Lielupe 1
BFK Salaspils 0
Fk Jurnieks Riga 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caramba 1
Nica FC 0
TBD -
Grobina -
Valmiera 8
Priekuli 0
Ogre 1
RTU 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele -
Tukums 2000 -
Balvu SC 0
Monarhs 6
BFC Daugavpils -
Alberts JDFS -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 0
Rezekne 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 5
Gulbene 1
FK Auda Riga -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine -
Upesciems -
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 1
Nikers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/16-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
Preilu BJSS 6
Jekabpils SC 5
Fk Jurnieks Riga 2
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Caramba 4
Grobina 5
Valmiera 2
RTU 1
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
JFC Dobele 0
Monarhs 12
BFC Daugavpils 2
Rezekne 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 5
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine 7
Nikers 0
TBD -
RFS -
1/8-finals
Riga FC 5
Preilu BJSS 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Jelgava 8
Spartaks Jurmala 2
Grobina 0
Valmiera 0
FK Metta 3
Ventspils 9
Monarhs 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
FK Liepaja 1
FK Karosta -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine 0
RFS 4
Quarter-finals
Riga FC 3
Jelgava 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Metta 0
Ventspils 1
FK Liepaja 2
FK Karosta 0
RFS 7
Semi-finals
Riga FC 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 4
RFS 1
Final
Riga FC 0
FK Liepaja 2
