Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Atmosfera

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Veselinovic M.
68' Event
Burdzilauskas T.
78' Event
Zickevicius K.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 and FK Atmosfera finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kauno Zalgiris 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
20%
Draws
24%
FK Atmosfera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 haven't matched FK Atmosfera's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 17%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 FK Atmosfera
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 1 7
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Atmosfera
3:1
Mar 18, 2026 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2:1
Jul 22, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Atmosfera
1:3
Mar 7, 2025 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Atmosfera
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burdzilauskas T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zickevicius K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Atmosfera Compare

Top Goalscorer Veselinovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 84 / 100
FK Atmosfera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 FK Atmosfera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Atmosfera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 VS FK Atmosfera
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Jonava
Page 1 of 6

FK Atmosfera

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1
Tauras Taurage
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1
FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)