Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kasparavicius J.
11' Event
Aderounmu K.
43' Event
Komissarov N.

AI Match Summary

FK Minija in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Minija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
6%
Draws
90%
FK Minija
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 haven't matched FK Minija's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FK Minija a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 14%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 FK Minija
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 21
Draws 2 2
Losses 23 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija
0:4
Sep 13, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija
1:2
May 10, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija
2:1
Mar 8, 2024 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasparavicius J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aderounmu K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 10 / 100
FK Minija 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 FK Minija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Minija let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 VS FK Minija
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Home)
24 Jul
Tauras Taurage
4 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2
FK Babrungas
28 Jun
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
BFA Vilnius
24 Jun
FK Babrungas
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
18 Jun
Neptunas
2 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
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FK Minija

(Away)
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1
Jonava
26 Jun
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Minija
23 Jun
FK Minija
2 : 1
FK Panevezys
20 Jun
FK Atmosfera
0 : 1
FK Minija
13 Jun
FK Minija
3 : 0
BFA Vilnius
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija16141141:1043
2FK Babrungas16133028:442
3Tauras Taurage17111534:1934
4BE1 NFA15102328:1532
5Neptunas1692522:1929
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7BFA Vilnius1681722:2525
8Garliava1564522:1422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21663723:2521
11Jonava1645719:2217
12Transinvest 21643915:3815
13Hegelmann Litauen 216411116:3413
14Ekranas16211316:337
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21721149:307
16Siauliai 216141114:387
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)