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FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Panevezys 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2025 Žalgirio stadionas
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AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 play FK Panevezys 2 in the I Lyga 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. FK Panevezys 2 averaged 1 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. In past meetings, FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 won 4, FK Panevezys 2 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 22, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.94 for FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 and 2.00 for FK Panevezys 2. This points to a FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
15%
Draws
35%
FK Panevezys 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 picked up more points recently compared to FK Panevezys 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.94 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FK Panevezys 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 FK Panevezys 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 23 21
Goals Scored 1.09 1
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Panevezys 2
2:0
Apr 28, 2025 I Lyga
FK Panevezys 2 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
4:2
Oct 6, 2024 I Lyga
FK Panevezys 2 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0:3
May 20, 2024 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Panevezys 2
2:0
Oct 27, 2023 I Lyga
FK Panevezys 2 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stelmokas T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FK Panevezys 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 47 / 100
FK Panevezys 2 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 FK Panevezys 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 attacking → ← attacking FK Panevezys 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

FK Panevezys 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FK Panevezys 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 21
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Transinvest30261387:2279
2Neptunas30214568:2767
3Tauras Taurage30188456:2262
4FK Babrungas30177664:4358
5BFA Vilnius30167747:3655
6FK Atmosfera301461052:3448
7Zalgiris 2301191050:4842
8Jonava301191026:2542
9FK Minija301131627:4636
10Hegelmann Litauen 230871535:5131
11BE1 NFA30861635:5130
12Ekranas30921937:5829
13FK Kauno Zalgiris 230831943:5727
14Siauliai 230822041:7126
15Nevezis Kedainiai30751832:5826
16FK Panevezys 230632130:8121