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FK Kedainiai vs FA Siauliai

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Kedainiai play FA Siauliai in the Lithuanian Cup 2019. FA Siauliai are favorites here. Recently, FK Kedainiai averaged 0.7 goals scored and 5 conceded. FA Siauliai averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. In past meetings, FK Kedainiai won 0, FA Siauliai won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 24, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for FK Kedainiai and 1.18 for FA Siauliai. This points to a FA Siauliai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
FK Kedainiai
17%
Draws
67%
FA Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FA Siauliai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kedainiai picked up more points recently compared to FA Siauliai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
FK Kedainiai Clean Sheet 20%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kedainiai FA Siauliai
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 2 10
Draws 2 9
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0.7 1.24
Goals Conceded 5 1.62

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2019 Lithuanian Cup
FK Kedainiai vs FA Siauliai
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kedainiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Berednikovas L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FA Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Viktoravicius V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kedainiai 18 / 100
FA Siauliai 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kedainiai FA Siauliai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FA Siauliai Win (2)
Secondary Pick FA Siauliai & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Kedainiai attacking → ← attacking FA Siauliai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kedainiai scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

FA Siauliai let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FK Kedainiai went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FA Siauliai lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 39
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63