Sport Picks

Lithuania

A Lyga 2011

Kruoja

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Klaipeda play Kruoja in the A Lyga 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Klaipeda averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Kruoja averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. In past meetings, FK Klaipeda won 0, Kruoja won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 30, 2011 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for FK Klaipeda and 0.93 for Kruoja. This points to a Kruoja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

FK Klaipeda

22%

Draws

53%

Kruoja

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kruoja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

FK Klaipeda picked up more points recently compared to Kruoja.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

FK Klaipeda Clean Sheet 24%

Kruoja Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Klaipeda	Kruoja
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	2	4
Draws	3	6
Losses	25	23
Goals Scored	0.63	0.67
Goals Conceded	2.8	2.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2011 TOPLYGA

Kruoja vs FK Klaipeda

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

6:0

Aug 13, 2011 TOPLYGA

FK Klaipeda vs Kruoja

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

May 18, 2011 TOPLYGA

Kruoja vs FK Klaipeda

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Oct 17, 2010 TOPLYGA

FK Klaipeda vs Kruoja

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Sep 15, 2010 TOPLYGA

Kruoja vs FK Klaipeda

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Klaipeda 27 / 100

Kruoja 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Klaipeda Kruoja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kruoja Win (2)

Secondary Pick Kruoja & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Klaipeda attacking → ← attacking Kruoja

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Klaipeda scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Kruoja let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FK Klaipeda went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kruoja lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 18

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ekranas	33	24	8	1	68:14	80
2	Zalgiris	33	22	6	5	56:17	72
3	Suduva	33	19	8	6	70:19	65
4	Siauliai	33	16	11	6	45:30	59
5	Kruoja	33	13	10	10	43:34	49
6	Banga	33	13	7	13	51:37	46
7	Tauras Taurage	33	11	12	10	50:38	45
8	Dainava Alytus	33	13	6	14	53:54	45
9	FK Atmosfera	33	9	9	15	36:54	36
10	FBK Kaunas	33	8	8	17	41:53	26
11	Atlantas	33	3	2	28	28:121	11
12	FK Klaipeda	33	2	3	28	19:89	9