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FK Lida vs Smorgon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Lida
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Karpovich E.
60'
Sub
Nsangou J. In: Gribovskiy R.
Out: Nsangou J.
60'
Sub
Tishko A. In: Yarotskiy Y.
Out: Tishko A.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between FK Lida and Smorgon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Lida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
FK Lida
15%
Draws
39%
Smorgon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Lida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Lida come out ahead of Smorgon on wins alone.
  • FK Lida are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FK Lida Clean Sheet 15%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Lida Smorgon
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.89 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs Smorgon
2:1
May 31, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FK Lida
4:4
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Smorgon vs FK Lida
2:3
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Smorgon vs FK Lida
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs Smorgon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Lida Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazurich A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chergeyko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Smorgon Compare

Top Goalscorer Galko V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Lida 35 / 100
Smorgon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Lida Smorgon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Lida scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Smorgon let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: FK Lida remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Lida VS Smorgon
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Lida

(Home)
02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2
FK Lida
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
FK Lida
3 : 2
FC Minsk 2
05 Sept
Osipovichi
1 : 2
FK Lida
Page 1 of 6

Smorgon

(Away)
03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0
Osipovichi
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1
Slutsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 28 18 6 4 57:28 60
2 Niva Dolbizno 28 18 4 6 72:33 58
3 SKA-1938 Minsk 28 17 5 6 61:32 56
4 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
5 FC Slonim 28 15 5 8 51:33 50
6 Molodechno 27 14 3 10 46:45 45
7 Soligorsk 28 12 7 9 55:45 43
8 BumProm Gomel 28 12 5 11 53:44 41
9 Ostrovets 28 8 11 9 38:41 35
10 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
11 Volna Pinsk 28 10 5 13 41:51 35
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 27 9 3 15 37:50 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 27 6 8 13 25:36 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 28 5 6 17 38:60 21
18 Osipovichi 28 5 5 18 30:68 20
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