Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Daugavas stadions, Liepāja

FK Liepaja

1 - 0

Decic

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Martins M.

25'

Sub

Leidsman K. In: Sorokins V.

Out: Leidsman K.

45'

Oss D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Liepaja in this Conference League tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

FK Liepaja

33%

Draws

27%

Decic

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FK Liepaja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

FK Liepaja have won more games recently than Decic.
FK Liepaja are the model's pick here, at 40%.
FK Liepaja have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor FK Liepaja, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 68%

Decic Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Liepaja	Decic
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	11
Draws	4	7
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.13	1
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Conference League

Decic vs FK Liepaja

1:2

Jul 9, 2026 Conference League

FK Liepaja vs Decic

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Liepaja Compare

Top Goalscorer Oloko E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Decic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Liepaja 50 / 100

Decic 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Liepaja Decic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Liepaja scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Decic let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

FK Liepaja went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Liepaja VS Decic

1.13 Goals Scored 1

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.29

88% Over 1.5 57%

63% Over 2.5 43%

25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Liepaja

(Home)

15 Jul

Decic

1 : 2

FK Liepaja

11 Jul

FK Auda Riga

1 : 0

FK Liepaja

09 Jul

FK Liepaja

1 : 0

Decic

04 Jul

BFC Daugavpils

3 : 1

FK Liepaja

30 Jun

FK Liepaja

4 : 0

Ogre United

Page 1 of 6

Decic

(Away)

15 Jul

Decic

1 : 2

FK Liepaja

09 Jul

FK Liepaja

1 : 0

Decic

04 Jul

Decic

4 : 1

Arsenal Tivat

17 Jun

Vllaznia

1 : 1

Decic

28 May

Decic

0 : 1

Mornar Bar

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana-

TBD-

Drita-

Borac Banja Luka-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti-

ML Vitebsk-

TBD-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TBD-

TNS-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar-

TBD-

Riga FC-

Bissen-

TBD-

Gyor-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo2

Inter Turku3

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar2

Atletic Escaldes4

Mondorf2

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Petrovac2

Zalgiris5

TBD-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen3

La Fiorita0

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

Vojvodina-

TBD-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju3

Linfield2

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Aluminij-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana4

FC Astana2

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

AF Elbasani1

BATE2

TBD-

Sion-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk2

Sileks1

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Zilina-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Decic1

FK Liepaja3

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

Alashkert4

Yelimay Semey3

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

TBD-

Brann-

Dila Gori3

Virtus2

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

NSI Runavik3

Hamrun2

TBD-

Koper-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

TBD-

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva6

TBD-

Hibernian-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo6

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia10

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond4

Zira FK6

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma4

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.2

FC Ballkani3

TBD-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan4

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Glentoran1

RFS4

TBD-

Vestri-

Rijeka-

TBD-

Derry City-

Vikingur3

Stjarnan5

Differdange1

Ilves3

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar2

Milsami1

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana1

Drita1

Borac Banja Luka-

Petrocub Hincesti-

ML Vitebsk-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TNS-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar-

Riga FC-

Bissen2

Gyor6

Basaksehir-

Inter Turku-

Vaduz-

Atletic Escaldes-

Dinamo Tbilisi-

Zalgiris-

TBD-

Partizan-

UNA Strassen-

FK Panevezys-

Tobol-

Paks-

Panathinaikos-

Spartak Trnava-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

Vojvodina-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

Kalju-

FCSB-

FK Auda Riga-

Aluminij-

Dinamo Tirana-

Zimbru Chisinau-

Noah-

BATE-

Sion-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

Braga-

Neftci Baku-

Din. Minsk-

Valur-

Zrinjski-

GAIS-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

Ludogorets-

Zilina-

GKS Katowice-

AEK Larnaca-

Beitar Jerusalem-

FK Liepaja-

Austria Vienna-

Alashkert-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

Brann-

Dila Gori-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

Dukagjini-

NSI Runavik-

Koper-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Valletta-

TBD-

HJK-

Coleraine-

Motherwell-

HB Torshavn-

Malisheva-

Hibernian-

Bravo-

Shkendija Tetovo-

IFK Goteborg1

Levadia2

LNZ Cherkasy-

Gent-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Zira FK-

FC Santa Coloma-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians-

FC Ballkani-

TBD-

Debrecen-

Pyunik Yerevan-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

FC Copenhagen-

Varazdin-

Jablonec-

RFS-

Vestri-

Rijeka-

Derry City-

Stjarnan-

Ilves-

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

Velez Mostar-

TBD-

Semi-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

TBD-

Final

TBD-