Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Daugavas stadions

FK Liepaja

1 - 0

Decic

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Martins M.

25'

Sub

Leidsman K. In: Sorokins V.

Out: Leidsman K.

45'

Oss D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Liepaja in this Conference League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Liepaja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

FK Liepaja

33%

Draws

27%

Decic

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FK Liepaja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

FK Liepaja average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Decic's 0.75.
FK Liepaja are the model's pick here, at 40%.
European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 68%

Decic Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Liepaja	Decic
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	11	11
Draws	4	7
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.13	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Conference League

Decic vs FK Liepaja

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Jul 9, 2026 Conference League

FK Liepaja vs Decic

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Liepaja Compare

Top Goalscorer Oloko E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Decic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Liepaja 50 / 100

Decic 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Liepaja Decic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Liepaja scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Decic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Decic registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Liepaja VS Decic

1.13 Goals Scored 0.75

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Derry City-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan4

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia10

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo6

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju3

Linfield2

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

Aluminij-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana4

FC Astana2

AF Elbasani1

BATE2

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva6

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

Vojvodina-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.2

FC Ballkani3

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar2

Atletic Escaldes4

NSI Runavik3

Hamrun2

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen3

La Fiorita0

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo2

Inter Turku3

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Glentoran1

RFS4

TBD-

Vestri-

Decic1

FK Liepaja3

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

Zilina-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

Dila Gori3

Virtus2

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

Universitatea Cluj-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

Mondorf2

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Petrovac2

Zalgiris5

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar2

Milsami1

Vikingur3

Stjarnan5

Differdange1

Ilves3

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk2

Sileks1

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma4

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Alashkert4

Yelimay Semey3

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond4

Zira FK6

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Borac Banja Luka-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti-

Bissen-

TBD-

Gyor-

ML Vitebsk-

TBD-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TBD-

TNS-

Floriana-

TBD-

Drita-

Vardar-

TBD-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Rijeka-

Derry City-

Lugano-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

Pyunik Yerevan-

IFK Goteborg-

Levadia-

Varazdin-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

Shkendija Tetovo-

Shelbourne-

Kalju-

Zimbru Chisinau-

Noah-

Aluminij-

Dinamo Tirana-

BATE-

Sion-

Motherwell-

HB Torshavn-

Malisheva-

Hibernian-

Paks-

Panathinaikos-

Vojvodina-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

Ludogorets-

Bohemians-

FC Ballkani-

Vaduz-

Atletic Escaldes-

NSI Runavik-

Koper-

Partizan-

UNA Strassen-

Basaksehir-

Inter Turku-

HJK-

Coleraine-

RFS-

Vestri-

FK Liepaja-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

Nordsjaelland-

Zilina-

GKS Katowice-

Dila Gori-

Apollon Limassol-

Universitatea Cluj-

Brann-

Valur-

Zrinjski-

Dinamo Tbilisi-

Zalgiris-

Dun. Streda-

Velez Mostar-

Stjarnan-

Ilves-

FK Panevezys-

Tobol-

Neftci Baku-

Din. Minsk-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

FC Copenhagen-

FC Santa Coloma-

Rapid Vienna-

Alashkert-

CFR Cluj-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Zira FK-

Spartak Trnava-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Borac Banja Luka-

Petrocub Hincesti-

Bissen-

Gyor-

ML Vitebsk-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TNS-

Floriana-

Drita-

Vardar-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-