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FK Liepaja vs Orebro

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Yakoub A.
38'
42' Event
Yakoub A.

AI Match Summary

Orebro in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
FK Liepaja
35%
Draws
30%
Orebro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • FK Liepaja have won more games recently than Orebro.
  • FK Liepaja are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 13%
Orebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Liepaja Orebro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
FK Liepaja vs Orebro
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Liepaja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Orebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakoub A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dana H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Liepaja 39 / 100
Orebro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Liepaja Orebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Liepaja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Liepaja's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Orebro let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FK Liepaja went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Liepaja VS Orebro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Liepaja

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
Riga FC
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
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Orebro

(Away)
19 Sept
Sandviken
4 : 2
Orebro
14 Sept
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1
Ostersund
01 Sept
Helsingborg
1 : 1
Orebro
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