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FK Liepaja vs RFS

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Daugavas stadions, Liepāja
FK Liepaja Logo

FK Liepaja

0 - 2
FT
RFS Logo

RFS

Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Korotkovs I.
30'
Savalnieks R.
46'
Sub
Lemajic D. In: Diomande I.
Out: Lemajic D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

RFS in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FK Liepaja
35%
Draws
32%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • RFS have won more games recently than FK Liepaja.
  • Win probability leans FK Liepaja's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 12%
RFS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Liepaja RFS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs FK Liepaja
0:0
Jun 26, 2026 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs RFS
0:2
May 8, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs FK Liepaja
5:0
Mar 13, 2026 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs RFS
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs RFS
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Liepaja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lipuscek Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Liepaja 35 / 100
RFS 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Liepaja RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Liepaja scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FK Liepaja remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: RFS conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FK Liepaja VS RFS
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Liepaja

(Home)
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
Riga FC
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
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RFS

(Away)
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
23 Aug
RFS
3 : 3
Riga FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 29 23 4 2 70:21 73
2 Riga FC 30 21 7 2 85:30 70
3 FK Auda Riga 30 18 6 6 48:29 60
4 FK Liepaja 30 12 6 12 41:43 42
5 BFC Daugavpils 30 10 8 12 35:35 38
6 Super Nova 29 10 5 14 29:39 35
7 Jelgava 30 8 8 14 32:48 32
8 Grobina 30 5 10 15 20:51 25
9 Tukums 2000 30 5 8 17 43:60 23
10 Ogre United 30 3 6 21 29:76 15
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)