Sport Picks
FK Liepaja vs Spartaks Jurmala Prediction & H2H Stats
Latvia
Optibet Virsliga 2022 Daugavas stadions, Liepāja 
Match Events
4'
4'
Markhiev A.
Own Goal
9'
9'
Grjaznovs A.
32'
32'
Mankenda G.
AI Match Summary
FK Liepaja in this Optibet Virsliga 2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Liepaja.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
35%
44%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- FK Liepaja have won more games recently than Spartaks Jurmala.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Optibet Virsliga 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors FK Liepaja here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 19%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Liepaja | Spartaks Jurmala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2022 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Spartaks Jurmala
5:2
Aug 14, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
2:3
May 10, 2022 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:0
Apr 1, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
0:2
Nov 6, 2021 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Liepaja Compare
Top Goalscorer Mankenda G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Belakovic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Spartaks Jurmala Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Liepaja 32 / 100
Spartaks Jurmala 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Liepaja Spartaks Jurmala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spartaks Jurmala has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
FK Liepaja scored in 67% of their last 33 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: FK Liepaja stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FK Liepaja VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Liepaja
(Home) 19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2 FK Liepaja
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0 FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 Riga FC
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 Riga FC
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1 Grobina
23 Jul
FK Liepaja
0 : 2 Austria Vienna
09 Jul
FK Liepaja
1 : 0 Decic
Page 1 of 3
Spartaks Jurmala
(Away) 12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2 Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1 Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0 FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1 Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3 Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 6
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2 Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1 Spartaks Jurmala
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1 Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3 Spartaks Jurmala
01 Oct
FK Liepaja
5 : 2 Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valmiera | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 101:25 | 85 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 36 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 68:23 | 81 |
| 3 | RFS | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 83:32 | 76 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 72:42 | 70 |
| 5 | FK Auda Riga | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 42:36 | 51 |
| 6 | Tukums 2000 | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 38:69 | 38 |
| 7 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 30:67 | 34 |
| 8 | Spartaks Jurmala | 36 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 37:75 | 31 |
| 9 | FK Metta | 36 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 41:86 | 22 |
| 10 | Super Nova | 36 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24:81 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Main)
