Sport Picks
FK Liepaja vs Ventspils
Latvia
Optibet Virsliga 2021 Daugavas stadions, Liepāja 
AI Match Summary
FK Liepaja host Ventspils in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. FK Liepaja are expected to control this from the start. FK Liepaja have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Ventspils's 1.08 scored and 1.58 conceded. Past meetings favor FK Liepaja slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.25, favoring FK Liepaja. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FK Liepaja carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives FK Liepaja a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Liepaja | Ventspils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 12 |
| Wins | 20 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ventspils let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.
FK Liepaja found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (39 games).
Recent resilience: FK Liepaja stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FK Liepaja
(Home)Ventspils
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 65:22 | 66 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 62 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 47:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Riga FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 50 |
| 5 | Spartaks Jurmala | 28 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 40:41 | 35 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:53 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Metta | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:55 | 20 |
| 8 | Noah Jurmala | 28 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 8:96 | 3 |
| 9 | Ventspils | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
