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FK Limbazi vs Aliance Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Karklins K.
Penalty Missed
18' Event
Krēsliņš N.
Own Goal
31' Event
Biezins M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with FK Limbazi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FK Limbazi
15%
Draws
64%
Aliance
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Limbazi come out ahead of Aliance on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Aliance taking it.
  • FK Limbazi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Limbazi, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Limbazi have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FK Limbazi Clean Sheet 10%
Aliance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Limbazi Aliance
Matches Played 18 18
Wins 8 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.17 3.06
Goals Conceded 3.89 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Latvian Cup
Aliance vs FK Limbazi
20:0
May 21, 2022 Latvian Cup
Aliance vs FK Limbazi
1:4
Jul 17, 2021 Latvian Cup
FK Limbazi vs Aliance
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Limbazi Compare

Top Goalscorer Biezins M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ulmis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Aliance Compare

Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Limbazi 10 / 100
Aliance 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Limbazi Aliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliance Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 18 matches.

Games between these two average 9.67 goals.

FK Limbazi found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (17 games).

Solid form: FK Limbazi remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Limbazi VS Aliance
3.13 Goals Scored 4.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Limbazi

(Home)
02 May
Valmiera
8 : 0
FK Limbazi
18 May
Aliance
20 : 0
FK Limbazi
11 Jun
Jekabpils SC
:
FK Limbazi
27 May
Plavinas
0 : 3
FK Limbazi
26 Jun
FK Limbazi
0 : 2
Jekabpils SC
Page 1 of 4

Aliance

(Away)
19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2
Aliance
30 May
Valka
1 : 5
Aliance
31 May
Aliance
0 : 6
JFK Ventspils
17 May
Valka
1 : 9
Aliance
05 May
Talsi
1 : 5
Aliance
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Kadaga/Ostas -
TBD -
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
RTU 1
JFC Viola 2
TBD -
Riga United -
Sigulda -
TBD -
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DSVK Traktors -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine -
TBD -
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Speks -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Kalupe -
TBD -
TBD -
Kengaroos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite 3
Dobele Allegro 0
TBD -
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Skanste -
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Gauja -
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Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe -
TBD -
TBD -
Talsi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Caramba -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
Lielupe -
TBD -
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Valka -
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Limbazi -
Aliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bauskas / Memele -
TBD -
TBD -
Livani -
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Super Nova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs -
TBD -
TBD -
Latgols / Ludza -
Albatroz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Karosta -
1/64-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 2
Preilu BJSS 1
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
JFC Viola 5
Riga United 0
Sigulda 4
DSVK Traktors 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 0
Speks 2
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Kalupe 4
Kengaroos 5
TBD -
Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
TBD -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
SK Babite -
TBD -
Skanste 5
Gauja 1
TBD -
Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
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Marupe 5
Talsi 3
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Caramba 2
FK Alberts 0
Lielupe 1
Valka 3
Riga FC -
TBD -
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Kuivizu Spartaks 0
FK Limbazi 10
Aliance 4
Bebri 2
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
Bauskas / Memele 1
Livani 5
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Super Nova -
TBD -
TBD -
Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
Latgols / Ludza 3
Albatroz -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Karosta 1
1/32-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 0
FK Smiltene 6
JFC Viola 5
Sigulda 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems 2
Speks 4
Jekabpils SC 0
Grobina 2
Kengaroos 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Saldus SS/Leevon 2
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Alberts JDFS 1
SK Babite 0
Skanste 4
Tente 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marupe 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Caramba 11
Valka 0
Riga FC -
TBD -
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TBD -
FK Limbazi 4
Aliance 0
Tukums 2000 4
Livani 0
Salaspils FK 0
Rezekne 7
Super Nova 6
Sports United/Cesis 0
FK Varaklani 0
Latgols / Ludza 5
Albatroz 5
FK Karosta 1
1/16-finals
FK Smiltene 2
JFC Viola 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Speks 4
Grobina 2
Dinamo Riga 9
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Skanste 2
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 3
Caramba 1
Riga FC -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 0
Tukums 2000 2
Rezekne 3
Super Nova 1
Latgols / Ludza 0
Albatroz 1
1/8-finals
FK Smiltene 0
FK Liepaja 3
Spartaks Jurmala 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
Valmiera -
TBD -
Speks 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Skanste 0
RFS 2
FK Metta 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Riga FC 3
Tukums 2000 1
Rezekne 0
Albatroz 3
Quarter-finals
FK Liepaja 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Valmiera 5
Dinamo Riga 0
RFS 4
FK Auda Riga 0
Riga FC 3
Albatroz 0
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja 2
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Riga FC 1
Final
FK Liepaja 0
RFS 1