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FK Metta vs Leevon PPK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga
FK Metta Logo

FK Metta

Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Leevon PPK Logo

Leevon PPK

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Metta host Leevon PPK in the 1. Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Leevon PPK have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while FK Metta have conceded 0.93 and scored 4.03. Past meetings favor FK Metta slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 2.69 vs 2.06, favoring FK Metta. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
FK Metta
30%
Draws
32%
Leevon PPK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • FK Metta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Metta are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 10%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Metta Leevon PPK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 23 20
Draws 3 6
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 4.03 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs FK Metta
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Metta 65 / 100
Leevon PPK 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Metta Leevon PPK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Metta scored in 100% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

FK Metta has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Leevon PPK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Metta VS Leevon PPK
4.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Metta

(Home)
17 Oct
Super Nova 2
1 : 3
FK Metta
10 Oct
FK Metta
4 : 0
Riga Mariners
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 6

Leevon PPK

(Away)
18 Oct
Leevon PPK
2 : 2
Alberts JDFS
10 Oct
JFK Ventspils
0 : 4
Leevon PPK
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 23 19 3 1 96:18 60
2 Valmiera 23 16 5 2 63:26 53
3 Leevon PPK 23 16 5 2 49:27 53
4 Riga Mariners 23 15 5 3 54:30 50
5 Alberts JDFS 23 12 5 6 46:33 41
6 Marupe 23 10 3 10 37:34 33
7 Riga FC 2 23 8 6 9 36:39 30
8 Skanste 23 8 2 13 46:48 26
9 Super Nova 2 23 6 8 9 30:36 26
10 FK Smiltene 23 5 5 13 34:61 20
11 Tukums 2000 2 23 5 4 14 31:65 19
12 RFS 2 23 5 3 15 37:65 18
13 JFK Ventspils 23 3 7 13 21:45 16
14 Rezekne 23 1 3 19 17:70 6
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