Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Minija vs Jonava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Traore M.
15' Event
Sveistrys A.
40' Event
Raginis A.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between FK Minija and Jonava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Minija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
FK Minija
15%
Draws
18%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Minija come out ahead of Jonava on wins alone.
  • FK Minija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 68%
Jonava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija Jonava
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 25 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.53 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Jonava
2:1
Jun 7, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Minija
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Jonava
0:1
Jun 13, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Minija
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Minija
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sveistrys A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Jonava Compare

Top Goalscorer Raginis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 95 / 100
Jonava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Minija scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Jonava has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: FK Minija remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Jonava registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS Jonava
2.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Minija

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
28 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 2
FK Minija
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Jonava

(Away)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)