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FK Minija vs Tauras Taurage Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Pikciunas M.
70' Event
Krasikov M.
Own Goal
88' Event
Kasparavicius J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

FK Minija in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Minija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FK Minija
20%
Draws
20%
Tauras Taurage
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • FK Minija have won more games recently than Tauras Taurage.
  • Model gives FK Minija a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%
Tauras Taurage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija Tauras Taurage
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 26 17
Draws 1 4
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 2.76 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Tauras Taurage
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Tauras Taurage
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs FK Minija
3:0
Jul 26, 2024 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs FK Minija
2:0
Apr 13, 2024 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Tauras Taurage
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Minija Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Tauras Taurage Compare

Top Goalscorer Pikciunas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 85 / 100
Tauras Taurage 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija Tauras Taurage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Minija's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FK Minija has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tauras Taurage has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS Tauras Taurage
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Minija

(Home)
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

Tauras Taurage

(Away)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1
Tauras Taurage
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)