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FK Panevezys 2 vs FK Minija

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2025 Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Diawara M.
37' Event
Kasparavicius J.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Lukosevicius I. In: Laimikis L.
Out: Lukosevicius I.

AI Match Summary

FK Minija in this I Lyga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Minija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FK Panevezys 2
6%
Draws
90%
FK Minija
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Minija lately — more wins on the board than FK Panevezys 2.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FK Minija taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Minija here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FK Panevezys 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Panevezys 2 FK Minija
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 24
Draws 3 3
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0 2.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2025 I Lyga
FK Panevezys 2 vs FK Minija
1:4
May 24, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Panevezys 2
2:0
Nov 8, 2024 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Panevezys 2
1:1
Jun 21, 2024 I Lyga
FK Panevezys 2 vs FK Minija
1:3
Oct 7, 2023 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Panevezys 2
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Panevezys 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Butkus A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Diawara M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cisse M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Panevezys 2 10 / 100
FK Minija 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Panevezys 2 FK Minija

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

FK Minija has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Attacking prowess: FK Panevezys 2 scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: FK Panevezys 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Minija
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

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1Transinvest30261387:2279
2Neptunas30214568:2767
3Tauras Taurage30188456:2262
4FK Babrungas30177664:4358
5BFA Vilnius30167747:3655
6FK Atmosfera301461052:3448
7Zalgiris 2301191050:4842
8Jonava301191026:2542
9FK Minija301131627:4636
10Hegelmann Litauen 230871535:5131
11BE1 NFA30861635:5130
12Ekranas30921937:5829
13FK Kauno Zalgiris 230831943:5727
14Siauliai 230822041:7126
15Nevezis Kedainiai30751832:5826
16FK Panevezys 230632130:8121