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FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Aukstaitijos Stadium, Panevėžys
FK Panevezys Logo

FK Panevezys

1 - 1
FT
Dziugas Telsiai Logo

Dziugas Telsiai

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Bizoza P.
27' Event
Burdzilauskas E.
Assist: Bacanin M.
34'
Sub
Keita S. In: Janusevskis J.
Out: Keita S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
FK Panevezys
15%
Draws
7%
Dziugas Telsiai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Panevezys average 1.3 goals a game right now, well clear of Dziugas Telsiai's 1.24.
  • FK Panevezys are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 68%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Panevezys Dziugas Telsiai
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:1
May 30, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys
4:0
Apr 5, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Club Friendly
FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Panevezys Compare

Top Goalscorer Burdzilauskas E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Asomugha B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Panevezys 95 / 100
Dziugas Telsiai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Panevezys Dziugas Telsiai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Panevezys found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

FK Panevezys went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Dziugas Telsiai registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Panevezys VS Dziugas Telsiai
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Panevezys

(Home)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
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Dziugas Telsiai

(Away)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)