Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Panevezys vs Suduva

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Aukstaitijos Stadium, Panevėžys
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Asamoah K.
46'
Sub
Zivanovic A. In: Beneta M.
Out: Zivanovic A.
58'
Lucky T.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between FK Panevezys and Suduva finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suduva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FK Panevezys
15%
Draws
58%
Suduva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suduva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suduva come out ahead of FK Panevezys on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Suduva's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 10%
Suduva Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Panevezys Suduva
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.17 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FK Panevezys
2:0
Jun 29, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Suduva
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FK Panevezys
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Suduva
0:0
Sep 16, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
Suduva vs FK Panevezys
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Panevezys Compare

Top Goalscorer Asamoah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Panevezys 10 / 100
Suduva 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Panevezys Suduva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suduva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Panevezys scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FK Panevezys remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Suduva conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FK Panevezys VS Suduva
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Panevezys

(Home)
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
23 Aug
Suduva
2 : 0
FK Panevezys
17 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 0
FK Panevezys
10 Aug
Transinvest
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
03 Aug
FK Panevezys
1 : 1
Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 6

Suduva

(Away)
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
23 Aug
Suduva
2 : 0
FK Panevezys
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
09 Aug
Banga
0 : 3
Suduva
20 Jul
Suduva
5 : 1
FC Hegelmann
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 24 12 9 3 35:18 45
2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 23 10 9 4 41:16 39
3 Transinvest 25 11 6 8 36:32 39
4 Dziugas Telsiai 26 10 8 8 36:33 38
5 Banga 25 10 8 7 29:22 38
6 Zalgiris 24 11 4 9 37:29 37
7 FK Panevezys 25 7 5 13 23:41 26
8 FC Hegelmann 26 4 12 10 29:44 24
9 FA Siauliai 26 3 7 16 24:55 16
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)