Sport Picks

FK Panevezys vs Tobol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe

Conference League Aukstaitijos Stadium, Panevėžys

FK Panevezys

1 - 1

Tobol

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Paulauskas V.

35'

Guerra L.

41'

Sub

Busurmanov S. In: Ustimenko D.

Out: Busurmanov S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

FK Panevezys

15%

Draws

36%

Tobol

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Tobol average 1.55 goals a game right now, well clear of FK Panevezys's 1.37.
Win probability leans FK Panevezys's way, sitting at 90%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 68%

Tobol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Panevezys	Tobol
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	13	13
Draws	4	4
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.37	1.55
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Conference League

Tobol vs FK Panevezys

2:1

Jul 23, 2026 Conference League

FK Panevezys vs Tobol

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Panevezys Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Tobol Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavnic N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Panevezys 95 / 100

Tobol 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Panevezys Tobol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tobol conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

FK Panevezys found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FK Panevezys remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Panevezys VS Tobol

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Panevezys

(Home)

03 Oct

Zalgiris

0 : 2

FK Panevezys

26 Sept

FK Panevezys

2 : 0

BFA Vilnius

13 Sept

FK Panevezys

0 : 1

FK Kauno Zalgiris

07 Sept

FC Hegelmann

1 : 3

FK Panevezys

03 Sept

Banga

0 : 3

FK Panevezys

Page 1 of 6

Tobol

(Away)

17 Sept

Tobol

0 : 2

Yelimay Semey

13 Sept

Kairat Almaty

1 : 4

Tobol

06 Sept

Tobol

3 : 1

Ulytau

30 Aug

Kaspij Aktau

1 : 0

Tobol

25 Aug

Tobol

3 : 2

Kaisar Kyzylorda

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka -

TBD -

Petrocub Hincesti -

ML Vitebsk -

TBD -

Sutjeska -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori -

TBD -

Floriana -

TBD -

Drita -

Flora -

TBD -

TNS -

TBD -

Inter Escaldes -

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Vardar -

TBD -

Riga FC -

Bissen -

TBD -

Gyor -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Motherwell -

TBD -

HB Torshavn -

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Basaksehir -

TBD -

FK Sarajevo 2

Inter Turku 3

Vaduz -

TBD -

Mornar Bar 2

Atletic Escaldes 4

Debrecen -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk 0

Pyunik Yerevan 4

Polissya Zhytomyr -

TBD -

FC Copenhagen -

Hearts -

TBD -

FC Hegelmann 1

Paide Linnameeskond 4

Zira FK 6

Torpedo Kutaisi 0

Penybont 0

FC Santa Coloma 4

TBD -

Rapid Vienna -

Alashkert 4

Yelimay Semey 3

TBD -

CFR Cluj -

TBD -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Mondorf 2

Dinamo Tbilisi 3

Petrovac 2

Zalgiris 5

TBD -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa -

TBD -

Valletta -

TBD -

Hammarby -

Paks -

TBD -

Panathinaikos -

Spartak Trnava -

TBD -

CSKA 1948 Sofia -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg -

TBD -

Caernarfon 0

Levadia 10

LNZ Cherkasy -

TBD -

Gent -

Vllaznia 2

Malisheva 6

TBD -

Hibernian -

Bravo -

TBD -

Europa FC 0

Shkendija Tetovo 6

PAOK -

TBD -

Universitatea Cluj -

TBD -

Brann -

Dila Gori 3

Virtus 2

TBD -

Apollon Limassol -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Ludogorets -

Zilina -

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Bohemians 2

St Josephs 0

Connahs Q. 2

FC Ballkani 3

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka -

TBD -

Derry City -

Vikingur 3

Stjarnan 5

Differdange 1

Ilves 3

Rangers -

TBD -

Varazdin -

TBD -

Jablonec -

Glentoran 1

RFS 4

TBD -

Vestri -

Valur -

TBD -

Zrinjski -

GAIS -

TBD -

Nordsjaelland -

Sheriff Tiraspol -

TBD -

St. Gallen -

FCSB -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Aluminij -

TBD -

Dinamo City 4

FC Astana 2

TBD -

Pafos -

Zimbru Chisinau -

TBD -

Noah -

AF Elbasani 1

BATE 2

TBD -

Sion -

Vojvodina -

TBD -

Ajax -

Shelbourne -

TBD -

Kalju 3

Linfield 2

Zeleznicar Pancevo -

TBD -

Braga -

Neftci Baku -

TBD -

Din. Minsk 2

Sileks 1

AEK Larnaca -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Decic 1

FK Liepaja 3

TBD -

Austria Vienna -

Twente -

TBD -

Dun. Streda -

TBD -

Velez Mostar 2

Milsami 1

Dynamo Kyiv -

TBD -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan -

TBD -

UNA Strassen 3

La Fiorita 0

FK Panevezys -

TBD -

Tobol -

Lugano -

TBD -

Dukagjini -

NSI Runavik 3

Hamrun 2

TBD -

Koper -

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Quarter-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka 6

Petrocub Hincesti 3

ML Vitebsk 5

Sutjeska 1

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori -

TBD -

Floriana 2

Drita 3

Flora 2

TNS 1

TBD -

Inter Escaldes -

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Vardar 4

Riga FC 8

Bissen 3

Gyor 7

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK 8

Coleraine 0

Motherwell 5

HB Torshavn 0

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Basaksehir 1

Inter Turku 3

Vaduz 6

Atletic Escaldes 0

Debrecen 1

Pyunik Yerevan 0

Polissya Zhytomyr 4

FC Copenhagen 5

Hearts -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Zira FK 1

FC Santa Coloma 3

Rapid Vienna 9

Alashkert 1

CFR Cluj 4

TBD -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Dinamo Tbilisi 5

Zalgiris 7

TBD -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa 7

Valletta 1

TBD -

Hammarby -

Paks 3

Panathinaikos 4

Spartak Trnava 0

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg 4

Levadia 3

LNZ Cherkasy 0

Gent 1

Malisheva 3

Hibernian 4

Bravo 3

Shkendija Tetovo 4

PAOK -

TBD -

Universitatea Cluj 3

Brann 5

Dila Gori 0

Apollon Limassol 7

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv 4

Ludogorets 2

Zilina 3

GKS Katowice 4

Bohemians 5

FC Ballkani 4

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka 2

Derry City 0

Stjarnan 2

Ilves 3

Rangers -

TBD -

Varazdin 3

Jablonec 4

RFS 5

Vestri 2

Valur 3

Zrinjski 2

GAIS 1

Nordsjaelland 6

Sheriff Tiraspol -

TBD -

St. Gallen -

FCSB 3

FK Auda Riga 7

Aluminij 1

Dinamo City 4

TBD -

Pafos -

Zimbru Chisinau 2

Noah 3

BATE 1

Sion 5

Vojvodina 2

Ajax 8

Shelbourne 6

Kalju 4

Zeleznicar Pancevo 0

Braga 5

Neftci Baku 3

Din. Minsk 4

AEK Larnaca 3

Beitar Jerusalem 4

FK Liepaja 1

Austria Vienna 5

Twente -

TBD -

Dun. Streda 4

Velez Mostar 0

Dynamo Kyiv -

TBD -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan 5

UNA Strassen 0

FK Panevezys 2

Tobol 3

Lugano 6

Dukagjini 1

NSI Runavik 4

Koper 3

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Semi-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka 3

ML Vitebsk 2

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori 1

Drita 9

Flora 0

Inter Escaldes 6

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Riga FC 2

Gyor 1

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK 1

Motherwell 3

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Inter Turku 4

Vaduz 3

Debrecen 1

FC Copenhagen 8

Hearts -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond 1

Rapid Vienna 6

CFR Cluj 1

Tromso 7

TBD -

Brighton -

Zalgiris 2

Hajduk Split 9

Rakow Czestochowa 1

Hammarby 0

Panathinaikos 3

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg 1

Gent 2

Hibernian 2

Shkendija Tetovo 1

PAOK -

TBD -

Brann 4

Apollon Limassol 3

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv 3

GKS Katowice 2

Bohemians 2

Midtjylland 5

Rijeka 2

Ilves 1

Rangers -

TBD -

Jablonec 4

RFS 1

Valur 0

Nordsjaelland 7

Sheriff Tiraspol 2

St. Gallen 8

FK Auda Riga 1

Dinamo City 4

TBD -

Pafos -

Noah 3

Sion 4

Ajax 5

Shelbourne 3

Braga 1

Din. Minsk 0

Beitar Jerusalem 3

Austria Vienna 4

Twente 9

Dun. Streda 3

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Qarabag Agdam 2

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan 5

Tobol 1

Lugano 4

NSI Runavik 2

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Final

Vikingur Reykjavik 2

Borac Banja Luka 6

Shamrock Rovers 1

KuPS 2

Drita 2

Inter Escaldes 3

Klaksvik 1

Riga FC 2

Lincoln Red Imps 3

Larne 2

Motherwell 2

Freiburg 7

Gornik Zabrze 3

Monaco 7

Inter Turku 1

FC Copenhagen 4

Hearts 5

Rapid Vienna 4

Tromso 0

Brighton 4

Hajduk Split 5

Rakow Czestochowa 4

Panathinaikos 4

Hradec Kralove 3

Gent 3

Hibernian 2

PAOK 3

Brann 4

Atalanta 1

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0

Midtjylland 6

Rijeka 1

Rangers 1

Jablonec 2

Nordsjaelland 4

St. Gallen 2

Dinamo City 3

Pafos 5

Sion 5

Ajax 9

Braga 2

Austria Vienna 0

Twente 4

Qarabag Agdam 2

Getafe 4

Partizan 3

Lugano 3

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

FK Panevezys vs Tobol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe

FK Panevezys

Tobol

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

FK Panevezys Compare

Tobol Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

FK Panevezys

Tobol

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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