Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Aukstaitijos Stadium, Panevėžys
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Panevezys host Zalgiris in the TOPLYGA. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. FK Panevezys have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Zalgiris's 1.63 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Zalgiris slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 16, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.13, favoring Zalgiris. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FK Panevezys
15%
Draws
51%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Zalgiris have won more games recently than FK Panevezys.
  • Model gives FK Panevezys a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 10%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Panevezys Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
3:0
May 3, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris
2:1
Feb 27, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris
3:1
Aug 31, 2025 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Panevezys 34 / 100
Zalgiris 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Panevezys Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: FK Panevezys scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Zalgiris conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Zalgiris lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Panevezys VS Zalgiris
0.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Panevezys

(Home)
23 Aug
Suduva
2 : 0
FK Panevezys
17 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 0
FK Panevezys
10 Aug
Transinvest
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
03 Aug
FK Panevezys
1 : 1
Dziugas Telsiai
30 Jul
Tobol
2 : 1
FK Panevezys
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Zalgiris

(Away)
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
16 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 3
Banga
13 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 5
Hajduk Split
30 Jul
Zalgiris
7 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 23 11 9 3 33:17 42
2 Transinvest 25 11 6 8 36:32 39
3 FK Kauno Zalgiris 22 10 8 4 41:16 38
4 Banga 24 10 7 7 29:22 37
5 Dziugas Telsiai 25 10 7 8 34:31 37
6 Zalgiris 23 11 4 8 37:27 37
7 FC Hegelmann 25 4 11 10 27:42 23
8 FK Panevezys 24 6 5 13 21:41 23
9 FA Siauliai 25 3 7 15 23:53 16
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)