Sport Picks
FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Lithuania
TOPLYGA Aukstaitijos Stadium, Panevėžys 
Match Events
21'
21'
Sesplaukis D.
Own Goal
44'
44'
Kouadio S.
Assist: Asamoah K.
46'
46'
Sub
Capan M. In: Verbickas O.
Out: Capan M.
AI Match Summary
FK Panevezys in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Panevezys.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Panevezys
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Zalgiris have won more games recently than FK Panevezys.
- Model gives FK Panevezys a 54% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 20%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Panevezys | Zalgiris |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
0:2
Aug 30, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris
2:0
Jun 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
3:0
May 3, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris
2:1
Feb 27, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Panevezys Compare
Top Goalscorer Kouadio S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Zalgiris Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Panevezys 85 / 100
Zalgiris 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Panevezys Zalgiris
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Panevezys scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Zalgiris has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
FK Panevezys went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FK Panevezys VS Zalgiris
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Panevezys
(Home) 03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2 FK Panevezys
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0 BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1 FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3 FK Panevezys
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3 FK Panevezys
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0 BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1 FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0 Zalgiris
03 Aug
FK Panevezys
1 : 1 Dziugas Telsiai
23 Jul
FK Panevezys
1 : 1 Tobol
Page 1 of 3
Zalgiris
(Away) 10 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 0 Suduva
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2 FK Panevezys
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0 Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2 FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0 Zalgiris
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0 Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0 Zalgiris
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0 Zalgiris
13 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0 Zalgiris
27 Jul
FC Hegelmann
2 : 3 Zalgiris
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 56:20 | 51 |
| 2 | Suduva | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 39:29 | 50 |
| 3 | Zalgiris | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 45:34 | 47 |
| 4 | Transinvest | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 5 | Banga | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 32:28 | 41 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36:40 | 38 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:43 | 32 |
| 8 | FC Hegelmann | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 31:48 | 26 |
| 9 | FA Siauliai | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 24:58 | 17 |
| 10 | Riteriai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)
