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Stadium Background

FK Pardubice vs Liberec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Stadion Arnosta Kostala, Pardubice
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Pardubice host Liberec in the Chance Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Liberec have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while FK Pardubice have conceded 1.21 and scored 2.24. Past meetings favor Liberec slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.31) back Liberec to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
FK Pardubice
15%
Draws
31%
Liberec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Pardubice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Liberec have won more games recently than FK Pardubice.
  • Win probability leans FK Pardubice's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Liberec here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FK Pardubice Clean Sheet 18%
Liberec Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pardubice Liberec
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.24 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Club Friendly
FK Pardubice vs Liberec
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Liberec
0:4
Jul 27, 2025 Chance Liga
Liberec vs FK Pardubice
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Liberec
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Chance Liga
Liberec vs FK Pardubice
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pardubice 85 / 100
Liberec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pardubice Liberec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pardubice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Pardubice scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Liberec let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FK Pardubice stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Pardubice VS Liberec
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Pardubice

(Home)
17 Oct
FK Pardubice
3 : 0
Zlin
11 Oct
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
FK Pardubice
02 Oct
FK Pardubice
4 : 1
Zizkov
19 Sept
FK Pardubice
2 : 1
Bohemians 1905
16 Sept
FK Kozlovice
0 : 6
FK Pardubice
Page 1 of 6

Liberec

(Away)
17 Oct
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 0
Liberec
11 Oct
Liberec
0 : 2
Slovacko
03 Oct
Slask Wroclaw
0 : 3
Liberec
19 Sept
Artis Brno
0 : 0
Liberec
15 Sept
Vlasim
0 : 2
Liberec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 11 8 3 0 26:6 27
2 Liberec 11 6 2 3 13:7 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
4 Sigma Olomouc 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
5 Sparta Prague 11 6 1 4 20:12 19
6 Brno 11 6 1 4 14:14 19
7 Jablonec 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Teplice 11 5 2 4 18:17 17
9 Plzen 11 4 4 3 23:19 16
10 Bohemians 1905 10 4 3 3 11:11 15
11 Hradec Kralove 11 4 3 4 10:13 15
12 FK Pardubice 11 3 2 6 12:16 11
13 Ostrava 11 3 2 6 7:18 11
14 Artis Brno 10 2 2 6 11:20 8
15 Slovacko 11 1 4 6 10:18 7
16 Zlin 11 0 1 10 8:23 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)