Sport Picks
FK Pardubice vs MFK Karvina
Czech Republic
Chance Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Arnosta Kostala, Pardubice 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
MFK Karvina in this Chance Liga 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FK Pardubice have won more games recently than MFK Karvina.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- FK Pardubice have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor MFK Karvina, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Pardubice | MFK Karvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 3.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Pardubice Compare
MFK Karvina Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
MFK Karvina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.
Attacking prowess: FK Pardubice scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: FK Pardubice stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.