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FK Pobeda vs Maykop

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Kazarov I.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between FK Pobeda and Maykop finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maykop.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FK Pobeda
33%
Draws
40%
Maykop
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Maykop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Maykop carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Maykop taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 18%
Maykop Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pobeda Maykop
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 2.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Maykop
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs FK Pobeda
1:2
Jun 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Maykop
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Maykop
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs FK Pobeda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Pobeda Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Maykop Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazarov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pobeda 28 / 100
Maykop 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pobeda Maykop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DRU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Pobeda found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: FK Pobeda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Maykop let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Pobeda VS Maykop
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Pobeda

(Home)
04 Jul
FK Pobeda
2 : 2
Rostov 2
27 Jun
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
13 Jun
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
FK Pobeda
06 Jun
FK Pobeda
4 : 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
30 May
Shahter Taganrog
3 : 1
FK Pobeda
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Maykop

(Away)
04 Jul
Maykop
2 : 2
Rubin Yalta
27 Jun
Kyzyltash
3 : 2
Maykop
20 Jun
Maykop
3 : 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
13 Jun
Shahter Taganrog
0 : 1
Maykop
06 Jun
Maykop
4 : 0
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon
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