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FK Pobeda vs Maykop

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Kazarov I.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between FK Pobeda and Maykop finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maykop.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
FK Pobeda
15%
Draws
36%
Maykop
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Pobeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Maykop carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on FK Pobeda taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 68%
Maykop Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pobeda Maykop
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Maykop
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs FK Pobeda
1:2
Jun 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Maykop
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Maykop
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs FK Pobeda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Pobeda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Maykop Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazarov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pobeda 68 / 100
Maykop 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pobeda Maykop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pobeda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Pobeda found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: FK Pobeda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Maykop let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Pobeda VS Maykop
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Pobeda

(Home)
20 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
0 : 2
FK Pobeda
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
29 Aug
Rostov 2
4 : 0
FK Pobeda
22 Aug
FK Pobeda
3 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
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Maykop

(Away)
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Maykop
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
05 Sept
Maykop
1 : 0
Angust Nazran
29 Aug
Rubin Yalta
4 : 1
Maykop
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