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FK Pobeda vs Rubin Yalta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Pobeda host Rubin Yalta in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. FK Pobeda have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against Rubin Yalta's 1.55 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, FK Pobeda have won 2 to Rubin Yalta's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.50, favoring FK Pobeda. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
FK Pobeda
15%
Draws
36%
Rubin Yalta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Pobeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rubin Yalta have managed 1.55 goals a game lately — FK Pobeda are scoring more at 1.71.
  • Model gives FK Pobeda a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 16%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pobeda Rubin Yalta
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.71 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs FK Pobeda
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs FK Pobeda
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Rubin Yalta
3:2
Sep 14, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs FK Pobeda
2:0
May 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Rubin Yalta
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pobeda 41 / 100
Rubin Yalta 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pobeda Rubin Yalta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Pobeda scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Rubin Yalta conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FK Pobeda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Pobeda VS Rubin Yalta
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Pobeda

(Home)
03 Oct
Angust Nazran
1 : 0
FK Pobeda
26 Sept
FK Pobeda
4 : 3
Spartak Nalchik
20 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
0 : 2
FK Pobeda
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
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Rubin Yalta

(Away)
03 Oct
Rubin Yalta
4 : 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
26 Sept
Shahter Taganrog
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
12 Sept
Kyzyltash
2 : 0
Rubin Yalta
29 Aug
Rubin Yalta
4 : 1
Maykop
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