Sport Picks

Slovakia

3. Liga - East 2025/2026

1. MFK Kezmarok

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Poprad play 1. MFK Kezmarok in the 3. Liga - East 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Poprad averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. 1. MFK Kezmarok averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, FK Poprad won 3, 1. MFK Kezmarok won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for FK Poprad and 1.31 for 1. MFK Kezmarok. This points to a FK Poprad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

FK Poprad

15%

Draws

38%

1. MFK Kezmarok

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Poprad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

FK Poprad picked up more points recently compared to 1. MFK Kezmarok.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

FK Poprad Clean Sheet 18%

1. MFK Kezmarok Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Poprad	1. MFK Kezmarok
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	12	11
Draws	4	4
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	1.43	1.59
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.9
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 3. Liga - East

FK Poprad vs 1. MFK Kezmarok

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Aug 23, 2025 3. Liga - East

1. MFK Kezmarok vs FK Poprad

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

4:1

Apr 10, 2024 4. liga - East

1. MFK Kezmarok vs FK Poprad

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

0:3

Aug 2, 2023 4. liga - East

FK Poprad vs 1. MFK Kezmarok

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Poprad 46 / 100

1. MFK Kezmarok 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Poprad 1. MFK Kezmarok

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Poprad or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Poprad attacking → ← attacking 1. MFK Kezmarok

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Poprad scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

1. MFK Kezmarok let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FK Poprad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

1. MFK Kezmarok lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 37

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13