Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Riltzi vs Aksakovo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Riltzi host Aksakovo in the Third League - North-East. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: FK Riltzi at 1.04 goals for, 2.82 against; Aksakovo at 1.43 for, 2.36 against. Past meetings favor Aksakovo slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.13 - 2.13) back Aksakovo to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FK Riltzi
15%
Draws
34%
Aksakovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Riltzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Aksakovo's 1.43 goals per match outpaces what FK Riltzi have produced (1.04).
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Riltzi Aksakovo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.04 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.82 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Aksakovo
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs FK Riltzi
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Aksakovo
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs FK Riltzi
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Riltzi 30 / 100
Aksakovo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Riltzi Aksakovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aksakovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aksakovo conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Aksakovo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

FK Riltzi found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

FK Riltzi VS Aksakovo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Riltzi

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
30 Aug
Fratria II
0 : 1
FK Riltzi
Page 1 of 6

Aksakovo

(Away)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)