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FK Riltzi vs Aksakovo Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FK Riltzi
15%
Draws
34%
Aksakovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Riltzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aksakovo lately — more wins on the board than FK Riltzi.
  • Win probability leans FK Riltzi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Riltzi Aksakovo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.77 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Aksakovo
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs FK Riltzi
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Aksakovo
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs FK Riltzi
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Riltzi 38 / 100
Aksakovo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Riltzi Aksakovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Riltzi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aksakovo conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Aksakovo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

FK Riltzi scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Riltzi VS Aksakovo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Riltzi

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
30 Aug
Fratria II
0 : 1
FK Riltzi
Page 1 of 6

Aksakovo

(Away)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)