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FK Rostov vs Zenit St Petersburg

Russia Russia

Premier League 2025/2026 Rostov Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Mohebi M.
13'
Mironov A.
14' Event
Sobolev A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Zenit St Petersburg in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zenit St Petersburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
FK Rostov
17%
Draws
70%
Zenit St Petersburg
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Rostov haven't matched Zenit St Petersburg's recent run of results.
  • Zenit St Petersburg are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Zenit St Petersburg have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 14%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Rostov Zenit St Petersburg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 21
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:1
Jul 20, 2025 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs FK Rostov
2:1
May 18, 2025 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs FK Rostov
2:0
Mar 12, 2025 Russian Cup
FK Rostov vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Rostov 15 / 100
Zenit St Petersburg 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Rostov Zenit St Petersburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Rostov's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FK Rostov stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Zenit St Petersburg has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Rostov VS Zenit St Petersburg
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit St Petersburg30208253:1968
2Krasnodar30206460:2366
3Lokomotiv Moscow301411554:3953
4Spartak Moscow30157847:3952
5CSKA Moscow30156944:3351
6Baltika301113638:2146
7Dynamo Moscow30129951:4045
8Rubin Kazan301110929:3043
9Akhmat Grozny309101135:3937
10FK Rostov30891325:3233
11Krylya Sovetov Samara30881435:5032
12Orenburg30781529:4429
13Akron Togliatti30691535:5327
14Dynamo Makhachkala305111419:3726
15Pari Nizhny Novgorod30651926:5023
16PFC Sochi30642029:6022