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FK Shumbrat Saransk vs FC Oryol

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Abrasimov D.
76' Event
Lomukhin A.

AI Match Summary

FK Shumbrat Saransk in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Shumbrat Saransk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
6%
Draws
4%
FC Oryol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Shumbrat Saransk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Shumbrat Saransk average 2.13 goals a game right now, well clear of FC Oryol's 1.38.
  • Model gives FK Shumbrat Saransk a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 20%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Shumbrat Saransk FC Oryol
Matches Played 17 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs FC Oryol
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrasimov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lomukhin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

FC Oryol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Shumbrat Saransk 85 / 100
FC Oryol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Shumbrat Saransk FC Oryol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Shumbrat Saransk's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

FC Oryol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FK Shumbrat Saransk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Shumbrat Saransk VS FC Oryol
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Home)
25 Jul
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 2
Spartak Tambov
04 Jul
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
3 : 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk
27 Jun
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 0
Ryazan
20 Jun
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
FK Shumbrat Saransk
13 Jun
FK Shumbrat Saransk
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
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FC Oryol

(Away)
25 Jul
FC Oryol
0 : 4
Saturn Ramenskoye
04 Jul
FC Oryol
0 : 2
M. Lipetsk
27 Jun
Penza
3 : 1
FC Oryol
20 Jun
FC Oryol
4 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Jun
Strogino Moscow
2 : 3
FC Oryol
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