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Stadium Background

FK Shumbrat Saransk vs FC Oryol

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Abrasimov D.
76' Event
Lomukhin A.

AI Match Summary

FK Shumbrat Saransk in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Shumbrat Saransk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
15%
Draws
28%
FC Oryol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Shumbrat Saransk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Shumbrat Saransk lately — more wins on the board than FC Oryol.
  • Model gives FK Shumbrat Saransk a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 20%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Shumbrat Saransk FC Oryol
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.7 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
0:2
May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs FC Oryol
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrasimov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lomukhin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Oryol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Shumbrat Saransk 58 / 100
FC Oryol 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Shumbrat Saransk FC Oryol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Shumbrat Saransk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Shumbrat Saransk's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

FC Oryol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: FC Oryol registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Shumbrat Saransk VS FC Oryol
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Home)
26 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 1
Salyut-Belgorod
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
05 Sept
M. Lipetsk
0 : 1
FK Shumbrat Saransk
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
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FC Oryol

(Away)
26 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 2
FC Oryol
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
30 Aug
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1 : 0
FC Oryol
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