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FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Rodina Moscow 3 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Kazantsev A.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Khudoklinov V.
88' Event
Lomukhin A.

AI Match Summary

Rodina Moscow 3 in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodina Moscow 3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
20%
Draws
60%
Rodina Moscow 3
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodina Moscow 3

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rodina Moscow 3 lately — more wins on the board than FK Shumbrat Saransk.
  • Model gives FK Shumbrat Saransk a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 14%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Shumbrat Saransk Rodina Moscow 3
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Rodina Moscow 3
2:3
May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Lomukhin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Top Goalscorer Khudoklinov V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krol K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Shumbrat Saransk 35 / 100
Rodina Moscow 3 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Shumbrat Saransk Rodina Moscow 3

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Shumbrat Saransk found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Rodina Moscow 3 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FK Shumbrat Saransk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Shumbrat Saransk VS Rodina Moscow 3
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Home)
10 Oct
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
03 Oct
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
26 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 1
Salyut-Belgorod
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
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Rodina Moscow 3

(Away)
10 Oct
Penza
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 3
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
26 Sept
Strogino Moscow
2 : 5
Rodina Moscow 3
19 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk 2
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
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