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FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Ryazan

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Basyrov S.
85' Event
Yusupov R.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between FK Shumbrat Saransk and Ryazan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Shumbrat Saransk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
6%
Draws
4%
Ryazan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Shumbrat Saransk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Shumbrat Saransk's 2.25 goals per match outpaces what Ryazan have produced (1).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FK Shumbrat Saransk taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 68%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Shumbrat Saransk Ryazan
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 2 14
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Ryazan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Basyrov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yusupov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ryazan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Shumbrat Saransk 95 / 100
Ryazan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Shumbrat Saransk Ryazan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Shumbrat Saransk scored in 94% of their last 16 outings.

Recent resilience: FK Shumbrat Saransk stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ryazan let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FK Shumbrat Saransk VS Ryazan
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%