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FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Spartak Tambov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kuptsov D.
59' Event
Kuptsov D.
79' Event
Polyakov V.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between FK Shumbrat Saransk and Spartak Tambov finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
35%
Draws
45%
Spartak Tambov
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Shumbrat Saransk haven't matched Spartak Tambov's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Spartak Tambov's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 15%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Shumbrat Saransk Spartak Tambov
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 21
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.66 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Spartak Tambov
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Polyakov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuptsov D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Shumbrat Saransk 15 / 100
Spartak Tambov 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Shumbrat Saransk Spartak Tambov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Tambov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Shumbrat Saransk scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

FK Shumbrat Saransk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Tambov let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Shumbrat Saransk VS Spartak Tambov
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Home)
10 Oct
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
03 Oct
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
26 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 1
Salyut-Belgorod
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
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Spartak Tambov

(Away)
10 Oct
Spartak Tambov
0 : 0
Ryazan
03 Oct
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
19 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
2 : 2
Spartak Tambov
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
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