Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Spartak Tambov

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kuptsov D.
59' Event
Kuptsov D.
79' Event
Polyakov V.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between FK Shumbrat Saransk and Spartak Tambov finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
28%
Draws
22%
Spartak Tambov
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FK Shumbrat Saransk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • FK Shumbrat Saransk haven't matched Spartak Tambov's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FK Shumbrat Saransk's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 17%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Shumbrat Saransk Spartak Tambov
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 10 23
Draws 2 2
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Spartak Tambov
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Polyakov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuptsov D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Shumbrat Saransk 48 / 100
Spartak Tambov 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Shumbrat Saransk Spartak Tambov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Shumbrat Saransk scored in 94% of their last 17 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

FK Shumbrat Saransk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Tambov let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Shumbrat Saransk VS Spartak Tambov
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Home)
25 Jul
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 2
Spartak Tambov
04 Jul
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
3 : 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk
27 Jun
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 0
Ryazan
20 Jun
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
FK Shumbrat Saransk
13 Jun
FK Shumbrat Saransk
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
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Spartak Tambov

(Away)
25 Jul
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 2
Spartak Tambov
04 Jul
Kursk
0 : 2
Spartak Tambov
27 Jun
Spartak Tambov
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
20 Jun
Ryazan
1 : 2
Spartak Tambov
13 Jun
Spartak Tambov
1 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
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