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FK Sloga Meridian vs Velez Mostar Prediction & H2H Stats

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup Stadion Luke, Doboj
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Djuric V.
15' Event
Saric I.
27'
Ovcina H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FK Sloga Meridian
30%
Draws
31%
Velez Mostar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Sloga Meridian

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Velez Mostar lately — more wins on the board than FK Sloga Meridian.
  • Model gives FK Sloga Meridian a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Velez Mostar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Velez Mostar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Velez Mostar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
FK Sloga Meridian Clean Sheet 68%
Velez Mostar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Sloga Meridian Velez Mostar
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Velez Mostar vs FK Sloga Meridian
2:0
Apr 15, 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
FK Sloga Meridian vs Velez Mostar
0:3
Apr 11, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Velez Mostar vs FK Sloga Meridian
0:0
Apr 8, 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Velez Mostar vs FK Sloga Meridian
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 WWIN Liga BiH
FK Sloga Meridian vs Velez Mostar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Sloga Meridian Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Velez Mostar Compare

Top Goalscorer Djuric V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saric I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Sloga Meridian 59 / 100
Velez Mostar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Sloga Meridian Velez Mostar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Sloga Meridian Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Velez Mostar conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

FK Sloga Meridian has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Velez Mostar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Sloga Meridian VS Velez Mostar
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Sloga Meridian

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Sarajevo
2 : 0
FK Sloga Meridian
16 Sept
FK Sloga Meridian
1 : 2
Borac Banja Luka
13 Sept
FK Sloga Meridian
1 : 1
Zeljeznicar
05 Sept
Radnik Bijeljina
1 : 2
FK Sloga Meridian
01 Sept
FK Sloga Meridian
0 : 0
Celik Zenica
Page 1 of 6

Velez Mostar

(Away)
19 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 0
Velez Mostar
13 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 0
FK Sarajevo
06 Sept
Zeljeznicar
3 : 1
Velez Mostar
02 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 1
Radnik Bijeljina
28 Aug
Celik Zenica
3 : 0
Velez Mostar
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Famos Hrasnica 1
Jedinstvo Bihac 0
Laktasi 3
Zvijezda 09 1
Crni Vrh 0
Radnik Bijeljina 1
Krusevo 3
Borac Banja Luka 2
NK GOSK Gabela 5
Tuzla City 1
BSK Banja Luka 0
Rudar Prijedor 6
Romanija Pale 0
Zrinjski 2
Stupcanica 2
Leotar 0
Celik Zenica 1
Posusje 0
Hadzici 0
FK Sarajevo 3
Majevica 0
Velez Mostar 1
Gradina Srebrenik 1
Siroki Brijeg 4
Sloboda Tuzla 0
Zeljeznicar 2
Slatina 1
Slavija 2
Grude 0
FK Sloga Meridian 7
Tekstilac Derventa 4
SD Napredak 1
1/8-finals
Famos Hrasnica 0
Laktasi 1
Radnik Bijeljina 5
Krusevo 1
NK GOSK Gabela 1
Rudar Prijedor 0
Zrinjski 4
Stupcanica 0
Celik Zenica 0
FK Sarajevo 1
Velez Mostar 2
Siroki Brijeg 1
Zeljeznicar 4
Slavija 0
FK Sloga Meridian 4
Tekstilac Derventa 0
Quarter-finals
Laktasi 2
Radnik Bijeljina 4
NK GOSK Gabela 3
Zrinjski 5
FK Sarajevo 1
Velez Mostar 5
Zeljeznicar 1
FK Sloga Meridian 2
Semi-finals
Radnik Bijeljina 0
Zrinjski 2
Velez Mostar 6
FK Sloga Meridian 1
Final
Zrinjski 2
Velez Mostar 1