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FK Smiltene vs FK Metta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Amoah P.
53' Event
Amoah P.
61' Event
Saleh S.

AI Match Summary

FK Metta in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Metta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FK Smiltene
15%
Draws
58%
FK Metta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Smiltene haven't matched FK Metta's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on FK Metta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Smiltene FK Metta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 22
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1.48 3.97
Goals Conceded 2.55 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs FK Metta
0:6
Apr 25, 2026 1. Liga
FK Metta vs FK Smiltene
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Smiltene Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Metta Compare

Top Goalscorer Saleh S.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Amoah P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 10 / 100
FK Metta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Smiltene FK Metta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

FK Smiltene scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

FK Metta let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

FK Smiltene has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS FK Metta
1.88 Goals Scored 4.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

(Home)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

FK Metta

(Away)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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